07/30 – International News Update

A rocket strike hit the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights on Saturday July 27. The rocket hit a soccer field in the Druze village of Majdal Shams, killing 12 people, all of whom were children and teenagers. [Reuters]

Israeli authorities are casting blame for the attack on the Iranian-backed Lebanese militant group Hezbollah. 

Hezbollah has denied responsibility for the strike, which is the deadliest attack thus far between the consistent violence and elevated tensions between the Israel and the Lebanese militia since the beginning of the war in Gaza.  In a written statement, Hezbollah said: “The Islamic Resistance has absolutely nothing to do with the incident, and categorically denies all false allegations in this regard” [Reuters] 

The Israeli military said the rocket launch was carried out from an area located north of the village of Chebaa in southern Lebanon, and Israeli military spokesperson Rear Admiral Daniel Hagari said that forensics showed the rocket was an Iranian-made Falaq-1. 

Hezbollah has fired around 6000 projectiles toward military targets in Israel since the beginning of the country’s war against Hamas in Gaza. This is the first strike the Lebanese militant group has explicitly denied responsibility for. [The Economist]  

The White House on Sunday also blamed Hezbollah for the Golan Heights strike. “This attack was conducted by Lebanese Hezbollah. It was their rocket, and launched from an area they control,” it said in a statement. [Reuters] 

The U.S. and other allies are working diligently now to push for a diplomatic solution against any further escalation of the conflict between Israel and Lebanese Hezbollah. 

Many countries are expressing concern of a comprehensive regional war, urging restraint as the tensions are now even higher than ever following several months of daily exchanges of fire between the Israeli military and Hezbollah fighters across the Lebanese border.  

Israel has vowed to inflict a painful response on Hezbollah following this attack, greatly increasing the likelihood of  widening the scope of this conflict. 

This was the deadliest attack on Israeli-controlled territory since October 7th, when Hamas, a Palestinian militant group, murdered around 1,200 people. [The Economist] 

“Hezbollah will pay a heavy price, the kind it has thus far not paid,” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said in a phone call with the leader of the Druze community in Israel, according to a statement from his office. [Reuters] 

Following their pledge to retaliate against Hezbollah in Lebanon, Israeli jets struck targets in southern Lebanon on Sunday. However, there are still many expectations of a stronger response following a security cabinet meeting convened by Netanyahu in Tel Aviv. 

After the meeting, Netanyahu’s office announced that the cabinet “authorized the Prime Minister and the Defense Minister to determine the manner and timing of the response.” [Reuters] 

The United States especially is now leading a desperate charge to restrain Israel’s response, urging them to stray away from bombing Lebanon’s capital Beirut or any major civil infrastructure like key airports or bridges. 

White House spokesperson John Kirby told reporters that Israel had every right to respond to the Golan strike. “But nobody wants a broader war,” he added. [Reuters]

Opinion: 

Hezbollah denies involvement in the rocket strike, but this is difficult to believe since they had announced several rocket attacks on Israeli military positions just beforehand. The discovered rocket had traceable evidence linking it to the militant group and was the same type of Iranian-made rocket that was announced to be fired at Israeli military targets hours earlier. 

Provoking Israel through a civilian attack, which would likely lead to direct war, is not ideal for Hezbollah at this moment. Therefore, it is very likely that the rocket that hit the soccer field was a misfire intended for a military target.

“[The projectile] was clearly a mistake, and Hezbollah is not interested in targeting Druze, but Hezbollah was hitting Israeli positions about 2.5km [1.5 miles] away from Majdal Shams, so it is possible that it made a targeting error,” said Nicholas Blanford, an expert on Hezbollah with the Atlantic Council think tank. [Al Jazeera] 

Israel is unlikely to engage in a conflict that would lead to an all-out war with Hezbollah. Their primary focus remains on eradicating Hamas in Gaza, a campaign their leaders consider unfinished. Therefore, it would be impractical to stretch their military resources thin with a larger conflict on the opposite border against the much larger and better-equipped Hezbollah.

Israeli intelligence estimates that Hezbollah’s weapons stockpile is over seven times larger than Hamas’s and includes significantly more lethal weapons. This arsenal includes hundreds of attack drones and approximately 130,000–150,000 rockets and missiles, including ballistic missiles capable of reaching Tel Aviv and even farther south, effectively covering the entire country. [Foreign Affairs] 

Israel’s government is likely to frame this attack as an act of terror orchestrated by the Iranian-led Axis of Resistance, leveraging the tragedy to garner international support and solidarity for their security and defense efforts. By emphasizing the deaths of children and members of an ethnic minority group, Israel aims to highlight the brutality of their regional adversaries.

This will benefit both their war effort and their international image, as Israel continues to face a challenging PR battle due to the large-scale civilian deaths and tragedies in the Gaza Strip resulting from their conflict with the Palestinian militant group Hamas. This remains a significant issue for Israel’s campaign in terms of public opinion, evident in the controversial divisiveness and protests that greeted Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s visit to the United States last week. 

It would be irrational to think that a major war between Israel and Hezbollah isn’t likely in the relatively near future. However, even the most dedicated Israelis would probably agree that now is not the time to engage in this conflict, given the ongoing situation in Gaza.

If Israel initiates a ground operation against Hezbollah to create a buffer zone and prevent further attacks, the conflict is likely to be prolonged. Hezbollah recognizes that a full-scale war with Israel would endanger its future and regional standing, as shown by its restrained response to recent provocations. Such a conflict would also harm Hezbollah’s domestic reputation, as Lebanon would struggle to rebuild afterward. 

In previous negotiations with Hezbollah, Israel has demanded that the group withdraw behind a ten-kilometer buffer zone in southern Lebanon. This is challenging since Hezbollah members reside in these areas, making monitoring difficult. Hezbollah, in turn, seeks an end to Israeli violations of Lebanese airspace, a significant request as Israel aims to maintain its surveillance and strike capabilities in Syria. However, if Arab states help broker a U.S.-backed cease-fire in Gaza, a compromise might be achievable. [Foreign Affairs] 

As negotiations progress, Hezbollah is likely to continue avoiding actions that could provoke a full-scale war with Israel. This restraint, especially as Israeli operations in Gaza become less intense, is key to avoiding escalation. Mediators like Hochstein should focus on preventing Israeli attacks on southern Lebanese cities such as Nabatiyah and Tyre, which could force Hezbollah into a stronger response. 

For now, It seems that all parties involved in the current conflict—Israel, Hezbollah, Iran, the Lebanese government, and the United States—have compelling reasons and intentions to avoid escalation into an expansive regional war.

– P.T.

07/27 – International News Story & Updates

French President Emmanuel Macron announced earlier this week that his outgoing government will remain in place until mid-August, prioritizing stability during the Olympic Games in Paris. [Reuters]

Macron stated that he will not select a new government until after the Paris Olympics. [BBC]

Macron’s decision came amid a left-wing alliance’s bid to name financial crime specialist Lucie Castets as their candidate for prime minister, following their win in the recent parliamentary elections.

The left-wing coalition, New Popular Front, secured the most seats in this month’s parliamentary elections; yet they fell far short of achieving a majority. 

Macron clearly displayed his rejection of the Left’s PM choice to nominate Castets shortly after the relatively unknown civil servant was suggested for the position. 

France’s newly fragmented parliament, divided into three main blocs, has resulted in a deadlock, preventing any single party from forming a majority government.

In a televised interview, Macron dismissed the Left’s proposal, emphasizing that the focus should be on creating a workable majority in the National Assembly rather than on specific names. 

Left-wing politicians accused him of trying to “cancel the result of the legislative elections.” [BBC] 

President Macron’s ruling centrist alliance suffered heavy losses in the elections, but he asked Prime Minister Gabriel Attal and his ministers to stay on in the form of a caretaker government until replacements are appointed.

Macron criticized the Left for not securing enough seats and their unwillingness to negotiate with other political forces, underscoring that it is the president’s constitutional prerogative to appoint the prime minister. [Reuters]

The leftist New Popular Front coalition, which includes the hard-left France Unbowed, the Socialists, the Greens, and the Communists, has been embroiled in internal disputes over their prime ministerial candidate. 

Despite their success in the elections, they lack the numbers to impose their choice, as Macron’s centrists also seek to form a functional government.

Macron’s stance has drawn sharp criticism from left-wing leaders, who accuse him of being out of touch with the public’s will. Nevertheless, Macron maintains that ensuring a stable government during the Olympic Games is of utmost priority, pushing back against the left’s attempts to leverage their electoral gains.

“The subject is not a name given by a political party,” Macron told broadcaster France 2. “We need to concentrate on the Games until mid-August,” he said. “From then it will be my responsibility to name a prime minister (…) with the broadest possible backing.” [Le Monde] 

Opinion: 

As France gears up to host the world games, political deadlock persists, with President Macron advocating for broader coalition-building to tackle crucial national issues. Macron did not specify the nature of the coalition he envisions but emphasized the importance of addressing the key concerns like immigration and security. His comments have reignited speculation about a potential alliance between Macron’s centrist party and the conservatives to govern France. [Politico] 

He secured a significant victory recently when a cross-party agreement was reached with the Republican Right political group, which was formed after some conservatives aligned with the far right, to reelect centrist Yaël Braun-Pivet as president of the National Assembly on July 18. [Politico] 

Left-leaning parliament members are heavily criticizing Macron’s actions, claiming that Macron is going against the elected majority of the new parliament and in effect ignoring the votes and wishes of the people. 

Leaders within the left-wing alliance are calling out Macron, alleging that he is trying to impose his own Republican coalition push through non-leftist led government.

– P.T.

07/27 – International News Story and Updates

VISIT TO CONGRESS

Israeli Prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu gave a speech addressing a joint-meeting in Congress Wednesday July 24. 

Netanyahu emphasized the vital importance of the longstanding alliance and close ties between the United States and Israel. 

“America and Israel must stand together. When we stand together something really simple happens: We win, they lose,” said Netanyahu [AP News]

The Israeli leader harshly criticized the popular resistance and divided the American public in relation to his war effort. When referring to the protests that erupted across college campuses and the demonstrations in D.C. related to his visit, Netanayhu labeled protestors as “useful idiots” for Iran and other enemies of Israel. [AP News] 

“These protesters that stand with them, they should be ashamed of themselves”, said Netanyahu. 

In anticipation of Netanyahu’s arrival, thousands of anti-war protestors gathered in Washington D.C. and clashed with police during and following his speech. 

After Netanyahu concluded his address to Congress, protestors marched on with their fiery demonstrations against Israel’s actions in Gaza. Many protestors quickly turned violent as they marched on to Union Station, where police arrested and pepper-sprayed multiple demonstrators. 

Protesters were seen burning an effigy of Netanyahu, even desecrating and replacing American flags with Palestinian ones. [NBC] 

Netanyahu used his speech to thank the US for its support, but urged it to speed up military aid to Israel, saying this could “dramatically expedite” an end to the Gaza conflict [BBC] 

He did not give an indication that Israel will scale back its military efforts in Gaza. 

“Israel will fight until we destroy Hamas’s military capabilities and its rule in Gaza and bring all our hostages home. That’s what total victory means. And we will settle for nothing less”, he claimed. 

A notable chunk of American representatives decided not to attend or display a boycott to Netanyahu’s speech. 

This included Former Speaker Nancy Pelosi, who later called Netanyahu’s speech “the worst presentation of any foreign dignitary invited and honored with the privilege of addressing the Congress.” [AP News]

The Israeli PM was often showered with applause throughout his speech, but also criticized and publicly reprimanded by many Democrats, including Rep. Rashida Tlaib. Tlaib, the only Palestinian American serving Congress, went a step further, holding a sign that said “WAR CRIMINAL” on one side and “GUILTY OF GENOCIDE” on the other. [AP News]

Netanyahu’s speech this week marked his fourth time addressing the U.S. Congress, surpassing Winston Churchill to have done so more than any other foreign leader. 

MEETING WITH BIDEN AND HARRIS 

Benjamin Netanyahu made his way to the White House Thursday to meet with President Joe Biden, as well Democratic Presidential Nominee Vice President Kamala Harris. 

The leaders reportedly all discussed the urgency of a ceasefire agreement. US officials are optimistic that a deal is near, and Biden is reportedly pressing Netanyahu to accept it. [CNN]

A senior administration official noted, “We’re closer than we’ve ever been. It’s up to the Israelis to accept it.” [CNN] 

The White House readout emphasized Biden’s push for a swift resolution, highlighting the need to finalize the deal, address the humanitarian crisis in Gaza, and protect civilian lives during military operations. [The White House] 

Biden also met with families of American hostages in Gaza, applying additional pressure on Netanyahu to finalize the agreement. 

Netanyahu highlighted his long-standing relationship with Biden, expressing gratitude for his support for Israel over the past 50 years, many of which the two politicians have known each other. 

“From a proud Jewish Zionist to a proud Irish American Zionist, I want to thank you for 50 years of public service and 50 years of support for the state of Israel,” Netanyahu told Biden. [AP News] 

Biden has continued to support Israel, despite criticism of its actions in Gaza and the humanitarian toll. 

Vice President Kamala Harris, who met with Netanyahu after Biden, emphasized the urgency of reaching a ceasefire and condemned the suffering in Gaza.

On Thursday, Harris expressed outrage over protesters tagging areas near the U.S. Capitol with pro-Hamas graffiti, showing support for the militants, and burning a U.S. flag at Union Station.

“Pro-Hamas graffiti and rhetoric is abhorrent and we must not tolerate it in our nation,” Harris said in a statement. “I condemn the burning of the American flag. That flag is a symbol of our highest ideals as a nation and represents the promise of America. It should never be desecrated in that way.” [AP News] 

Harris also denounced the brutality of Hamas. White House national security spokesperson John Kirby reaffirmed the administration’s stance that the militant group, responsible for killing approximately 1,200 people on October 7 and kidnapping 250 from Israel, is ultimately accountable for the suffering in Gaza and must reach an agreement with Israel. [AP News] 

Harris displayed a much more vocal stance on the issues surrounding military operations with Gaza and the need to reach a deal when speaking with Netanyahu. 

“What has happened in Gaza over the past nine months is devastating. The images of dead children and desperate, hungry people fleeing for safety, sometimes displaced for the second, third or fourth time,” Harris said. “We cannot look away in the face of these tragedies. We cannot allow ourselves to become numb to the suffering. And I will not be silent.” [AP News] 

In a briefing with reporters, Israeli officials revealed that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was displeased with Vice President Kamala Harris’ public statement following their recent meeting, fearing this could jeopardize cease-fire talks. [Axios] 

Harris, after a 40-minute discussion with Netanyahu, made an on-camera statement urging for the swift conclusion of a hostage and ceasefire deal. “It is time for this war to end in a way where Israel is secure, all the hostages are released, the suffering of Palestinians in Gaza ends, and the Palestinian people can exercise their right to freedom, dignity, and self-determination,” she asserted. 

Two Israeli officials indicated afterwards that Netanyahu’s meeting with Biden was more productive compared to his session with Harris, although the latter was not described as tense or difficult. They were caught off guard by Harris’ public statement, which they felt was more critical than her private remarks. [Axios] 

Netanyahu was reportedly disturbed by Harris framing the hostage and ceasefire deal as an end to the war, as Israel intends to maintain the option to resume fighting post-deal. He was also unhappy with her public criticism of Israel regarding the humanitarian crisis and civilian casualties in Gaza, especially given the timing amid delicate negotiations. 

The Israeli official told Axios, “When our enemies see the U.S. and Israel are aligned, it increases the chances for a hostage deal and decreases the chances for a regional escalation. When there is such daylight, it pushes the deal further away and brings a regional escalation closer. We hope that Harris’ public criticism of Israel won’t give Hamas the impression that there is daylight between the U.S. and Israel and, as a result, make it harder to get a deal.” [Fox News] 

Another Israeli official added that Harris’ public statement appeared more critical than her private remarks to Netanyahu.

White House aides to Harris disputed these claims and criticisms regarding Harris’ tone towards Netanyahu. 

NETANYAHU MEETS WITH TRUMP 

Former President Donald Trump met with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Friday July 27, marking their first meeting since Trump left office over three years ago.   

The meeting was apparently held as requested by Netanyahu at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago residence. 

The meeting presented an opportunity for Trump and Netanyahu to reset their relationship amid the Israel-Hamas conflict and the 2024 election cycle. Although Trump once touted a close relationship with Netanyahu, tensions have arisen in recent years, particularly following Netanyahu’s congratulatory message to Biden after the 2020 election, which Trump perceived as disloyal.

Despite these tensions, a senior Trump campaign adviser noted that Trump’s willingness to meet with Netanyahu demonstrates his ability to prioritize important relationships over personal grievances.

There was no specific agenda for the meeting, but Trump has consistently advocated for a swift resolution to the Middle East conflict. He has argued that Israel is losing the public relations battle and needs to act quickly.

This encounter  follows Netanyahu’s address to Congress and meetings with President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris at the White House.       

Harris, the presumptive Democratic nominee, emphasized the importance of addressing civilian suffering and ending the ongoing conflict in a public statement critical of the destruction in Gaza after  her discussions with Netanyahu. Hariss’ critical tone reportedly irked Netanyahu and provided unease amongst Israeli officials on the likelihood of an effective ceasefire deal being reached. 

Netanyahu expressed his hope that Harris’ comments would not hinder the prospects of a ceasefire. “I think to the extent that Hamas understands there’s no daylight between Israel and the United States, that expedites the deal,” Netanyahu said. He added, “And I would hope that those comments don’t change that.” [CNN] 

Trump criticized Harris, describing her remarks as “disrespectful to Israel.” He questioned how Jewish voters could support her, saying, “I think her remarks were disrespectful. They weren’t very nice pertaining to Israel. I actually don’t know how a person who is Jewish could vote for her, but that’s up to them.” [CNN] 

The meeting marked the first encounter between former President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu since Trump left the White House in 2020. 

Although Trump once touted a close relationship with Netanyahu, tensions have arisen in recent years, particularly following Netanyahu’s congratulatory message to Biden after the 2020 election, which Trump perceived as disloyal.

The two appeared to have recently reconciled, however. “We’ve always had a good relationship,” Trump told reporters ahead of the meeting. [The Guardian]

Previously, Trump and Netanyahu were strong political allies. During Trump’s first term, he significantly supported Netanyahu by moving the U.S. embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem and recognizing Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights. 

In a recent interview with Fox News, Trump urged Israel to swiftly conclude the conflict and rescue hostages, commenting, “They are getting decimated with this publicity, and you know Israel is not very good at public relations.” [The Guardian] 

Opinion: 

The gathering marked Biden’s first with a world leader since announcing his withdrawal from the 2024 presidential race. Resolving the Israel-Hamas conflict is seen as crucial for Biden’s legacy. The President and his team are likely to push for a ceasefire deal to bring this conflict to an end, allowing them to claim a victorious resolution to a devastating war that has significantly impacted Biden’s administration and domestic opinion.

The Democratic party, particularly presumptive nominee Kamala Harris, is particularly eager to end the war before the election. Harris aims to highlight her role in pressuring Netanyahu and condemning the atrocities committed against innocent Palestinians, seeking to win over American voters who have sharply criticized Israel’s response to the October 7 Hamas attacks.

Kamala Harris is now taking a leading role, especially in U.S.-Israel relations, while maintaining policies consistent with the Biden administration. She made public statements following meetings with Netanyahu, not President Biden. As the party pushes her election campaign, Harris is increasingly acting like the leader, amidst a growing national awareness of Biden’s cognitive decline.

Both Biden and Harris met and spoke with Netanyahu in private, but it was Harris who made the televised public statement with American flags in the background. It’s important to remember that Biden is still the President and Harris is his Vice President. However, it is increasingly clear that the Democratic party and media are adamantly trying to shift the spotlight from Biden, especially now that he has been successfully removed from the ballot.

The dynamics of this meeting with a notable foreign leader signal Harris taking over the reins of power from Biden. She effectively ascended to the Democratic nomination for President in a short matter of days after Biden’s decision to step down. Despite Biden pledging to fulfill his duties as President through the remainder of his term, Harris is fully committed to her election campaign and demonstrating her leadership capabilities by practically running the country already.

Harris is clearly appealing to the cameras to appease her progressive base, which is largely disillusioned with bipartisan support for Israel’s military efforts in Gaza. Israeli officials, including Netanyahu, noted a disparity between Harris’ critical public statements and the private discussions she held with the Israeli PM. The likely reality is that Harris was more affirming in private but adopted a strong, critical public stance to win over the pro-Palestine faction of American voters who have been adamantly disapproving of Israel’s actions in Gaza. 

Netanyahu is likely meeting with Trump to assure himself that he will have the unwavering support of Israel if he does assume the presidency next year. 

For Trump, this is his way of capturing possible Jewish votes from those that dislike Harris’ shaky support of Israel. He is also trying to be concrete on the Republican party’s staunch support of Israel and prioritizing them as a military ally. Trump famously regards himself as someone who can prevent and quickly put an end to international wars. 

Netanyahu is likely meeting with Trump to secure assurances of unwavering support for Israel if Trump assumes the presidency next year. For Trump, this is a strategy to capture Jewish votes and emphasize the Republican party’s staunch support of Israel as a military ally in relation to Harris’ shaky support and unnerving comments. 

Trump famously prides himself on his ability to prevent and quickly resolve international conflicts. Therefore demonstrating productive relations and understanding with the man at the helm  of one of the world’s most devastating and flaring  conflicts can enhance this aspect of his advertised persona. 

– P.T.

07/25 – International News Story & Update

Britain and Germany signed a joint defense declaration on Wednesday July 24.

The two countries committed to closer collaboration in order to strengthen their defense industries, bolster European security, and support Ukraine against Russian aggression. [Reuters] 

British Defense Minister John Healey and German counterpart Boris Pistorius signed a cooperation deal in Berlin on, pledging enhanced industrial coordination and joint operations. [Politico]

Healey emphasized that European security is a top priority for the UK’s new government, while Pistorius highlighted the importance of strengthening the arms industry and standardizing weapons systems.

“These visits send a clear message that European security will be this government’s first foreign and defense priority,” Healey said in a statement. 

“We want to strengthen our arms industry,” Pistorius said, standing next to Healey. “We want to work more closely together in the development, production and procurement of weapons and ammunition.” [Politico] 

Healey’s visit to Berlin is part of a two-day trip that includes stops in France, Poland, and Estonia, demonstrating the new Labour government’s dedication to deepening defense ties with European allies. 

This push for stronger relations aligns with NATO’s efforts to address the significant costs and challenges of enhancing Europe’s defenses in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

The declaration outlines plans for Britain and Germany to support the European defense industrial base, initiate joint procurement projects, and collaborate on research and development to boost production and innovation. 

Prime Minister Keir Starmer has emphasized the importance of improved cooperation with European allies to better support Ukraine and has even proposed a UK-EU security pact covering various areas, including energy, supply chains, pandemics, and migration. [Reuters] 

Opinion: 

Germany and Britain, Europe’s top military aid donors to Ukraine, have solidified their defense alliance amidst growing fears that a potential Donald Trump victory in the U.S. election could jeopardize European security. 

Concerns have heightened with Trump selecting J.D. Vance as his running mate, a critic of U.S. financial aid to Ukraine, as his running mate.

The agreement marks the beginning of a new, robust defense relationship between the UK and Germany, and one that both nations will attempt to fortify moving forward. 

With Europe rattled at the uncertainty of a highly possible Trump-Vance victory in November, the continent’s political leaders have heard their wake up call to start organizing and cooperating amongst themselves when it comes to defense. 

European nations must prepare for a potential shift in American foreign policy. Trump and Vance have both expressed sentiments of reluctance towards providing what both have echoed as “blank checks” to Ukraine in their attempts to fight Russia. [Politico] 

The agreement between Britain and Germany is a proactive step towards addressing critical deficiencies within NATO, and by fostering joint procurement initiatives and collaborative research and development, these European heavyweight nations are attempting to set  a precedent for other European countries to follow.

– P.T.

07/24 – International News Update

WASHINGTON D.C. —

President Joe Biden addressed the nation in a live speech from the Oval Office in Washington D.C. on Wednesday evening. 

Biden announced directly to voters on Wednesday his decision to abandon his reelection campaign and endorse Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic candidate, citing the need to unite the country and safeguard democracy.

In his Oval Office address, Biden, 81, emphasized that the defense of democracy outweighs personal ambition, reflecting on his 50 years in public office.

“But nothing, nothing can come in the way of saving our democracy. That includes personal ambition,” he said. “So I decided the best way forward is to pass the torch to a new generation. That is the best way to unite our nation.”, said the President. [Reuters] 

Biden praised his Vice President Kamala Harris as a strong leader, capable of guiding the nation forward, and expressed confidence in her ability to win the presidency. 

“She’s experienced, she’s tough, she’s capable. She’s been an incredible partner to me and a leader for our country. Now the choice is up to you, the American people,” he said. [Reuters] 

In his address, President Biden aimed to highlight the election’s significance, portraying it as a pivotal choice between freedom and chaos, a narrative both he and Vice President Harris have emphasized. Despite this, Biden avoided overtly campaigning from his official capacity.

“The beauty of America is that it is not ruled by kings or dictators,” Biden stated. “The power belongs to the people. History is shaped by your hands. The essence of America is in your hands.” [AP News] 

Harris, the first Black woman and Asian American vice president, has since gained substantial support and financial donations within the Democratic Party and invigorated its election campaign.

Biden asserted that as he transitions out of his presidential bid, he remains focused on his current term’s agenda, including lowering costs for families, defending civil rights, and addressing climate change.  

He outlined an extensive agenda for his remaining six months in office, committing to stay dedicated to his presidential duties until his term concludes on January 20, 2025. Biden vowed to work on ending the conflict between Israel and Hamas in Gaza, increasing government support for cancer research, tackling climate change, and advocating for Supreme Court reform. [AP News] 

The Democratic National Committee plans to formally nominate Harris by early August, with a significant fundraising surge already bolstering her campaign.

This is undoubtedly a historic moment. A sitting U.S. president explaining to the nation his rare decision to voluntarily relinquish power and step away from the nomination. Such a step hasn’t been taken since 1968, when Lyndon Johnson declared he would not seek reelection amidst the Vietnam War. 

“I have decided the best way forward is to pass the torch to a new generation,” Biden said, saying he wanted to make room for “fresh voices, yes, younger voices.” – “That is the best way to unite our nation.” 

Opinion: 

The announcement finally came three days after the President revealed his decision to withdraw from the race via a letter posted on the social media platform X. 

Until earlier today, Biden had not been seen publicly for almost a week, following reports of his COVID diagnosis. The absence of any public appearances or trustworthy communications from the President in the days surrounding his monumental decision led to growing suspicion and mounting theories among citizens. 

His choice to withdraw followed a challenging June debate with Donald Trump, which raised doubts about his ability to secure another term. This was compounded by several public political blunders and resulted in overwhelming pressure from within his own party to step down. 

The Democrats are now focusing on the ‘passing the torch’ and ‘new generation’ narrative as their key strategy to win the election. This can be seen through what is being carved out to be Kamala Harris’ emerging campaign slogan, “We’re not going back.” 

They aim to turn around the age argument, Biden’s biggest detriment, to their advantage by positioning 59-year-old Kamala Harris against 78-year-old Donald Trump.

– P.T.

07/24 – International News Story

Donald Tusk, the Polish prime minister, currently faces significant political blowback in the fallout of his recent failure  to fulfill his major campaign promise of increasing access to abortion.

Despite a strong election victory in October, bolstered by pledges to restore the rule of law and introduce liberal reforms, including same-sex partnerships and easing anti-abortion laws, Tusk encountered a major political defeat on July 12 when he brought the matter to parliament. 

This recent attempt by lawmakers to draft a law aimed at removing this punishment for abortion assistance was shot down by members of parliament by 218 votes against the 215 that were in favor. [Barron’s]

The right-wing Law and Justice (PiS) party, which governed Poland for eight years until October’s election, implemented a near-total abortion ban in 2020. The current law holds that abortion is only permitted in cases of rape, incest, or when the woman’s life is at risk.

Poland has one of Europe’s strictest laws surrounding abortion, with a penalty of up to three years in jail for even aiding an abortion. 

Protests have erupted throughout Poland as several thousand voters take to the streets to challenge the parliament’s decision to reject a bill decriminalizing assisting abortion. [Barron’s] 

These protests were mostly lead by Women’s rights groups, but were also met with counter-demonstration from anti-abortion activists

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk, stated on Tuesday that he felt “very bad that I haven’t found arguments that would convince” those who voted against the bill.” [Politico]

Tusk removed an MP from the position of deputy minister and suspended two MPs from his Civic Coalition party who did not vote for the proposal following the vote. [Politico] 

Opinion: 

Poland is a country with a strong Catholic presence and heritage, exemplifying the modern tug-of-war between conservative religious values and access to modern reproductive rights. Women’s rights to their bodies and decisions surrounding childbirth should be increasingly considered a fundamental human right as we move further into the 21st century, yet there seems to be consistent resistance among government’s of the world’s advanced nations. 

Instances of women dying after being denied abortions and facing complications have significantly eroded the popularity of the ruling Law and Justice (PiS) party.

Ahead of the most recent vote, Donald Tusk emphasized that decriminalizing abortion is central to his reform agenda for the country. Many voters supported Tusk’s centrist coalition in October, driven by his promise to expand abortion rights and address the strict punishments surrounding the procedure. His party secured a sizable portion of the female vote, highlighting the importance of this issue for women.

Some members of conservative parties argue that abortion is not as high a priority for Polish citizens as other issues like national security, border defense, the economy, and healthcare. T

his argument is partly supported by Poland’s defense spending, which is 4% of its GDP—the highest of any European state and double the 2% spending target for NATO members. Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski stated that the Polish government plans to increase defense spending to 5% of GDP by 2025. [Reuters] 

Despite this, for a country with around 40 million people, the issue of looser access to abortion remains a central concern for young female voters. It will be interesting to see if Tusk’s ruling coalition can withstand a potential backlash in public opinion if they fail to deliver on this key campaign promise. 

The Left aims to resubmit its decriminalization proposal, hoping to pass it narrowly with support from its backers and potential absenteeism among opposing MPs.

The Left aims to resubmit its decriminalization proposal, banking on potential absenteeism among opposing MPs and strong support from its backers to narrowly pass the bill. However, President Andrzej Duda, a conservative Catholic ally representing the right-wing opposition PiS party, is expected to veto any bill increasing abortion access. 

This veto could be pivotal in mobilizing liberal voters to support an anti-PiS candidate in the next presidential election, provided the coalition manages to advance the bill to Duda’s desk.

Many Polish citizens feel that they propelled the ruling coalition to victory based on the promises of progressive reform and increased reproductive rights, however, disillusionment and betrayal now stain the judgment of Tusk and his party following this recent defeat. 

– P.T.

07/22 – International News Update & Analysis

This past Sunday, July 21, President Joe Biden publicly announced his decision to step down as the Democratic nominee for President and not seek reelection in November. 

Following his announcement on X, Biden offered his full support and endorsement to Vice President Kamala Harris to be the Democratic nominee for president at this year’s election. [X] 

Biden pledged to finish his tenure and remain in office as president until the end of his term in January 2025. [Reuters]

Immediately following the announcement, Harris and her campaign began garnering support from Democrats throughout the party. Recent surveys show that Harris already has well over enough delegates’ support to win the official delegate vote for nominee at the upcoming Democratic National Convention in Chicago on August 19. [Reuters] 

Recent reports claim that the Harris campaign has raised over $81 million dollars in 24 hours. 

Since Biden’s resignation from the presidential race and public endorsement of Harris, virtually all of the current Vice President’s possible challengers for the nomination have come out supporting Harris’ campaign. This includes top governor choices such as Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan, Gavin Newsom of California, Andy Beshear of Kentucky, Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania, and J.B. Pritzker of Illinois. 

The path to the nomination is all but clear for Harris at this point in the race. 

The AFL-CIO labor union federation, which represented more than 12.5 million labor workers, also declared its institutional support for Harris. [Reuters] 

Harris also received the support of former Speaker Nancy Pelosi, and both Bill and Hillary Clinton. She did not, however, receive an endorsement from former President Barack Obama, who praised Biden for his decision to step down from the race and stated that an “outstanding nominee” would be selected in an open process at the upcoming convention. [New York Post] 

Recent polls show that Harris typically falls on average about two percentage points behind Donald Trump. The 46% to 48% difference is slightly better for Harris compared to how Biden polled on average – three percentage points behind the Republican presidential nominee, 47% to 44%. [Fox News]

BACKGROUND

Kamala Harris’ political ascent began as a prosecutor and later as California’s attorney-general, where she strategically navigated the state’s fluid and future-focused political landscape. Harris has often adjusted her positions to align with the political climate, leading critics to label her as opportunistic and ambitious, a reputation that seems to stick with her aside a lack of charisma. [Economist]  

Harris’ ethnic background offers an advantageous political persona as the daughter of civil-rights activists and immigrants from India and Jamaica. She seems to have struggled to have leveraged this identity towards garnering effective national support from minority and immigrant demographics throughout her career in high politics. 

When it comes to policy issues, Harris would be tied to the Biden administration’s record, which has seen legislative achievements but also faced unpopularity on various fronts. Her role in addressing southern border issues has already drawn attacks from Trump’s allies and will surely be the target of increased criticism throughout this race. [Economist]

On the topic of foreign policy, Harris maintains a relatively centrist stance, in support of maintaining strong aid to Ukraine and aligning with traditional Democratic views. Her campaign would contrast sharply with Trump and his America-first agenda, emphasizing global leadership.

Opinion:

Many people saw this outcome of Biden’s nominee resignation following his disastrous debate performance in late June. 

The Democratic Party shamelessly misled its supporters and the American public, insisting for months that Biden was the best candidate and fit to run, effectively eliminating potential challengers during the primary. Now, as Biden’s chances of victory appeared more dismal than ever, the Democratic elites have abandoned him, and he has finally succumbed to the pressure to step down.

During his 2020 presidential campaign, Joe Biden promised to choose a woman of color as his vice-presidential running mate, leading to the selection of Kamala Harris. Despite her poor performance in the 2020 nomination race, she has now inherited the nomination due to Biden’s apparent cognitive decline and his adherence to a self-imposed diversity quota.

Senior Democrats and left-wing media, after urging Biden to abandon his reelection bid, are now portraying him as a phenomenal and selfless leader who had one of the most successful presidencies. These same individuals, who previously begged him to step down in light of recent polls and public opinion, are now depicting his resignation as an act of patriotism and service. Is this truly the mark of an American hero, or simply the reality of an 81-year-old man finally buckling under pressure from powerful party elites and wealthy donors?

As the 2024 presidential election approaches, Democratic voters have been stripped of their agency in selecting their preferred nominee and participating in a democratic process. Biden was virtually pushed through every stage of the Democratic primary without contenders, leaving voters no opportunity to support other candidates despite clear public opposition to another Biden vs. Trump rematch.

The Biden-Harris ticket’s main campaign point is to protect and preserve democracy. However, by not allowing voters to choose their candidate, the Democrats have shown that the millionaire donor class, not the voters, selects the nominee.

At 59, Harris’s age is a notable improvement over Biden’s 81, addressing the primary concern of voters regarding his age and physical ability to lead.

Although Harris is not much more popular than Biden, her campaign will focus on positioning her as the last possible opponent to Trump. She will adopt a full anti-Trump stance in every advertisement, seeking the votes of those opposed to his return to the White House. 

Harris and her campaign are likely to take the approach of framing this refreshed campaign as the prosecutor vs. the felon in their aims of discrediting and defeating Trump. 

Harris will likely make her position in defense of abortion and instating Roe v. Wade as a central feature of her candidacy, as well as staunch support for clean energy and environmental justice. 

The Republican Party and Trump campaign have expressed discontent with the Democrats’ decision to replace Biden with Harris so late in the race, citing millions of dollars spent on attacking Biden. 

They also recognize that defeating Kamala Harris will be slightly more challenging than defeating Joe Biden, which was shaping up to be a possible landslide in November given recent political developments.

Nevertheless, given the current disarray surrounding the Democratic party, a Trump victory still seems more likely for now.However, it will undoubtedly be a tight election this November, and it will be interesting to see how the Harris vs. Trump race unfolds in the coming months.

– P.T.

07/21 – International News Story & Analysis

As China’s economic slowdown continues, the governing Communist Party held its third plenum from July 15 to 18 to lay out future economic developments while Europe braces itself with uncertainty. 

In the years following the COVID-19 pandemic, China’s economy has faltered with a shaky property market and decreased consumer spending, impacting European foreign investments. 

At the height of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, the Chinese government attempted to crack down on indebted real estate developers to reduce risk to the financial system. This effort pushed housing prices down and weaker companies defaulted. 

With a slowdown in the development of pre-paid homes, some homeowners stopped paying mortgages increasing the perceived uncertainty of property investments. 

As of mid-2023, housing prices had fallen every month for more than a year and the declining value of homes seemed to negatively impact spending tendencies in China as people adopted a “save-over-spend” mentality. 

In the first half of 2024, property investment fell 10.1% from a year earlier. Home sales by floor area declined by 19%. [Reuters]

At the end of 2021, China’s exports peaked at a record $340 billion and the country took over as the world’s largest exporter of goods.

All of this led to optimism at the start of 2023 that China would see a rapid recovery in consumer spending after the loosening of both global COVID-19 restrictions and China’s strict Zero Covid policy. 

China’s growing tensions with the United States has also played a role in negative economic impact with increasing doubts about future access to technology, markets, and capital. Concerns over the potential for reduced feasibility of regular travel and engagement with the West have also been raised. 

The structural slowdown of China’s economy has also been linked to China’s Deleveraging Campaign from 2013 to 2021 which aimed to expand credit and investment to reduce debt within the Chinese economy, particularly in the corporate and local government sectors. [CSIS]

One such tactic under this campaign involved developers replacing one form of borrowing from shadow banks with revenues from sales of homes before their construction.

When housing sales began declining, developers cut back on new land purchases and construction

THIRD PLENUM

Amid these economic challenges, China held its third plenum meeting from July 15-18 presided over by Chinese President Xi Jinping, head of the party’s Central Committee. 

In all, there are 7 plenums with the first, second, and seventh focusing on power transitions between Central Committees. The fourth and sixth generally center around party ideology leaving the fifth for five-year development plans and the third to focus on long-term economic reforms. [Reuters]

Following the closure of the third plenum meeting on July 18, the government reiterated China’s commitment to a “new development philosophy,” focused on “high-quality economic development” driven by “all-around innovation” as well as reaching its 5% annual growth target.

The CCP has also shown signs of shifting away from its previous emphasis on raw growth driven by infrastructure investments. [The Diplomat]

The official Chinese Xinhua News Agency reported after the meeting, “High-quality development is the top mission of building a modern socialist country.” [Bloomberg]

IMPACT ON EUROPE

In 2024 so far, China’s economy has continued its slowing trend which has only furthered uncertainty in Europe.

China’s economy, the second-largest in the world, grew much slower than expected in the second quarter of 2024, growing by 4.7% from April to June, its slowest since the first quarter of 2023. [Reuters]

By the end of 2024, the Chinese government is aiming for an economic growth target of around 5.0%, an ambitious target according to some analysts.

This second-quarter growth slowdown prompted investment banking company Goldman Sachs to lower its forecast for China’s 2024 growth to 4.9% from 5.0%.

The consumer sector has remained a major concern during the slowdown as retail sales hit an 18-month low, forcing businesses to cut prices on various products.

In particular, luxury markets in Europe have been hit by China’s slowing economy and decreasing consumer demand. 

The Stoxx luxury index, a stock market index that tracks the performance of the top European luxury goods companies was down 1.5% on July 15. [Market Watch]

British fashion brand Burberry reported a quarterly sales decrease of 21% in China with Swiss watchmaker Swatch also reporting a decrease in sales due to weaker demand in China.

Lynn Song, chief economist for Greater China at ING said: “A negative wealth effect from falling property and stock prices, as well as low wage growth amid various industries’ cost cutting, is dragging consumption and causing a pivot from big-ticket purchases toward the basic ‘eat, drink and play’ theme consumption,”

In May the European Union Chamber of Commerce in China said that European companies operating in China are concerned that the slowdown will hurt their profitability.

It also reported in its Business Confidence Survey that the outlook for doing business in China hit its lowest in the report’s 20-year history.

​

In recent months the US and EU have also accused China of flooding global markets with cheap products to cope with industrial overcapacity. [Nikkei]

Data on China’s inbound foreign direct investment showed a 26.1% decline for the January to March quarter, dampening prospects for a turnaround. [Nikkei 2]

EU Commission chief Ursula von der Leyen and French President Emmanuel Macron urged President Xi Jinping in May to ensure more balanced trade with Europe.

Von der Leyen said at the talks in Paris that the European Union “cannot absorb massive over-production of Chinese industrial goods flooding its market,” [Reuters]

Denis Depoux, global managing director of management consultancy Roland Berger said: “European companies are confronted by growing uncertainties in China, in large part due to economic volatility and less predictable policy direction,” 

Opinion:

It is becoming clear that popular Western fears of China overtaking the United States as the world’s top economy have proven exaggerated, with the U.S. still firmly in the lead for the foreseeable future. 

China’s decades of growth largely resulted from the historic opening of their socialist economy, which spurred modernization and financial boom. However, as with all nations that experience significant economic runs, a slowdown and structural issues eventually emerge. 

The ruling Communist Party remains committed to its authoritarian model, and necessary reforms to reignite economic development may lead them to double down on national security, limiting free-market development and foreign investment. 

This could heighten tensions with the West, setting the stage for another global power rivalry between democracy and autocracy, where historically, democracy has often emerged victorious on the economic front. [The Diplomat] 

Despite its slowing economy, China’s dominant role in the global economy is undeniable. They lead economically in their region, and a declining Chinese economy will impact the development of its Asian neighbors. 

The European Union faces its own challenges, particularly with China as its second-largest trading partner and the EU being China’s largest trading partner. [EEAS] 

The European Union will have to deal with its own reliability issues amidst an economically stagnating Chinese— and not to mention the looming potential of an increasingly protectionist United States on the horizon.

This EU-China relationship is becoming more antagonist as of late, as a stagnating China has led to more economic malpractices from the Xi regime which has invited condemnation from the European commission. Top EU and NATO leaders have also recently publicly condemned China’s foreign policy actions and economic enabling of Putin’s war of aggression in Ukraine. 

As China’s economy slows, European companies with operations or production bases in China are increasingly worried and may begin exiting the country. This stagnation, coupled with a potential trade war with the West, could create uncertainty in European economies heavily reliant on trade with China. 

Germany will be particularly important to monitor, as the EU’s largest economy grapples with recent financial turmoil. For the past eight years, China was Germany’s largest trading partner, until being overtaken by the United States this year. [Reuters]

European governments, including Germany, will need to engage in serious discussions about their economic ties and dependence on the People’s Republic of China. As the economic prowess of the Chinese begins to show signs of decline, these discussions will be crucial in addressing the ripple effects on international trade.

– K.M./P.T.

07/16 – International News Update

Former President Donald Trump announced his choice of running mate on July 15, picking Ohio Senator J.D. Vance.

Trump made the announcement on his social media network Truth Social, saying: “After lengthy deliberation and thought, and considering the tremendous talents of many others, I have decided that the person best suited to assume the position of Vice President of the United States is Senator J.D. Vance of the Great State of Ohio.”

Soon after the announcement Vance received a formal nomination from the Republican party at the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

The choice of vice presidential candidate is somewhat interesting given that Vance himself was once a strong critic of Trump during the beginning of his political career and during his presidential campaign against Hillary Clinton in 2016. 

In the past Vance had dubbed Trump  “a total fraud,” “a moral disaster” and “America’s Hitler.”

However, his tone has changed over the years to staunch support for the former president which Vance says was due to Trump’s performance in office.

In 2021, Vance apologized for his criticism of Trump in an interview with Fox News. Last month, he told Fox “Look, I was wrong about Donald Trump. I didn’t think he was going to be a good president,” Adding:”He was a great president, and it’s one of the reasons why I’m working so hard to make sure he gets a second term.”[Fox News]

In 2022, Vance landed a seat in the US Senate representing Ohio after being endorsed by Trump.

In the wake of an assassination attempt on Trump at a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania on July 13, Vance wrote on the social media platform X accusing President Joe Biden’s campaign of inciting the violence. 

He wrote: “The central premise of the Biden campaign is that President Donald Trump is an authoritarian fascist who must be stopped at all costs.” He added: “That rhetoric led directly to President Trump’s attempted assassination.”

With the upcoming Presidential election in November, midwestern states are expected to play a critical role in swaying the turnout. 

In Trump’s announcement of Vance as his VP pick, he wrote that Vance “will be strongly focused on the people he fought so brilliantly for, the American Workers and Farmers in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, Minnesota, and far beyond,” in an appeal to midwestern voters. 

In response to Trump’s announcement nominating Vance, Biden’s campaign chair Jen O’Malley Dillon said in a statement: “Donald Trump picked J.D. Vance as his running mate because Vance will do what Mike Pence wouldn’t on January 6: bend over backwards to enable Trump and his extreme MAGA agenda, even if it means breaking the law and no matter the harm to the American people,” [AP News]

The statement was made in reference to an insurrection made by a pro-Trump mob in the US Capitol Building on January 6 2021 following Trump’s loss in the 2020 presidential election. 

Meanwhile, President Biden wrote on X: “Here’s the deal about J.D. Vance. He talks a big game about working people. But now, he and Trump want to raise taxes on middle-class families while pushing more tax cuts for the rich.”

If Trump wins in the November election, Vance will be the second youngest vice president, tied with Richard Nixon. Vance’s vacant Senate seat would be filled by Ohio Governor Mike DeWine, a moderate Republican. [Politico] 

Opinion: 

Leading up to this week’s Republican National Convention, speculation about who Donald Trump would select as his hopeful Vice President had been swirling for months. 

Trump’s VP shortlist included names such as North Dakota Governor Doug Bergum, Florida Senator Marco Rubio, South Carolina Senator Tim Scott, New York Congresswoman Elise Stefanik, and Florida Congressman Byron Donalds.  [AP News] 

Ultimately, Trump chose 39-year-old Ohio Senator J.D. Vance, who the media had tipped as the most likely candidate.

Similar to his 2016 campaign, Trump’s VP choice is clearly made on tactical grounds concerning campaign strategy. His previous running mate, Indiana Governor Mike Pence, was chosen to court evangelical Christian voters. [BBC]

This time, in 2024, Trump selected the up-and-coming young senator J.D. Vance from Ohio, a crucial swing state in the November race. This selection demonstrates Trump’s perceived importance of securing votes from industrial Midwestern battleground states, which will likely decide the upcoming presidential election.

Vance’s background will help Trump focus on courting the demographic of working-class voters. 

Vance’s initial rise to popularity came through his personal memoir, “Hillbilly Elegy,” published in 2016. The memoir explains his blue-collar upbringing and how it influenced his worldview and inspiring rise into national politics. [BBC]

Vance appeals to average, lower, and working-class Americans through his own lived experience of the “American Dream,” rising from nothing to become a successful and prominent national civil servant. He also holds an accredited Ivy League law degree and has served in the military.

Although initially an avid “anti-Trumper” during Trump’s first presidential bid in 2016, Vance has since become an outspoken defender of the former President, garnering the support of both Trump and his supporters. He holds similar views on notable policy issues as President Trump, including trade, immigration, foreign policy, and the war in Ukraine. [BBC] 

At this point in the presidential campaign race, Trump’s choice for running mate makes sense when considering these factors and the possible choices leading up to the RNC. 

Should Trump win in November and return to the White House, J.D. Vance’s role as Vice President, along with his age and political alignment, will likely make him the prospective heir to the MAGA throne and the Republican presidential nomination in 2028. 

— K.M./P.T.

07/15 – International News Story & Update

On Saturday, July 13, shots rang out at a Trump campaign rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, leaving former President Donald J. Trump injured. 

Trump was shot at multiple times, with one bullet striking him in the right ear. [Reuters] 

The bullet that struck Trump was only an inch from hitting his brain, and had the President not turned his head away from the crowd only a split second before, the former President would not be alive today. 

In an exclusive interview given to the New York Post, Trump recounted the event, stating, “I’m not supposed to be here, I’m supposed to be dead.” [The Independent]   

This incident marks the most serious attack on a former or current president since Ronald Reagan was shot and wounded in March 1981. [The Economist]

The shooter has been identified as 20-year-old Thomas Matthew Crooks from Pennsylvania. His political affiliations are unclear, as records show he is a registered Republican who has previously donated to Democratic groups and campaigns. [ABC News] 

Crooks used an AR-15 from a rooftop about a football field-length away from the stage, firing multiple shots at the former President and grazing his ear. Crooks was shot and killed by a Secret Service counter-sniper within three seconds of opening fire on Trump. 

The attack also claimed the life of 50-year-old former fire chief Corey Comperatore, who was shielding his family in the crowd, reports AP News. Two other bystanders were seriously injured in the incident. [AP News]

An investigation has been launched and is ongoing to uncover more details about the planned assassination. The direct motives of the shooter remain unknown.

International Reactions 

The shooting of Donald Trump generated a wave of international response, with numerous world leaders condemning the attempted murder of the former President.

“I’m sickened by the shooting at former President Trump. “It cannot be overstated – political violence is never acceptable. My thoughts are with former President Trump, those at the event, and all Americans.” – Canadian Prime Minister, Justin Trudeau 

“I am appalled by the shocking scenes at President Trump’s rally and we send him and his family our best wishes. Political violence in any form has no place in our societies and my thoughts are with all the victims of this attack.” – U.K. Prime Minister, Keir Starmer 

“The attack on US presidential candidate Donald Trump is despicable. My thoughts are also with all of those who were affected by the attack. Such acts of violence threaten democracy.” – German Chancellor, Olaf Scholz 

“The desperation of the international left, which today sees its nefarious ideology expiring, is not surprising. In panic of losing at the polls, they resort to terrorism to impose their backward and authoritarian agenda.” – Argentinian President, Javier Milei 

“Violence has no place in politics and democracies. Our thoughts and prayers are with the family of the deceased, those injured and the American people.” – Indian Prime Minister, Narendra Modi 

“This wasn’t just an attack on Donald Trump. This was an attack on a candidate for the presidency of the United States. This was an attack on America. It was an attack on democracy.” – Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu 

“An attempt on the life of Donald Trump, a heinous crime. One that can only be condemned, and which shows how serious the global challenges to democracy are right now. Violence in any form and anywhere must not prevail.” – Ukrainian President, Volodymyr Zelenskyy 

The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement claiming they are “following the shooting incident” and that Xi Jinping has “expressed sympathies to former President Trump” [U.S. News] 

A Kremlin spokesperson issued a statement saying ““We do not believe that the attempt to eliminate and assassinate Trump was organized by the current authorities. But the atmosphere around candidate Trump provoked what America is confronting today.” [U.S. News]

The spokesman also said there were no plans for Putin to call Trump in connection with the incident. [Reuters]

Opinion: 

The immediate reaction to the assassination attempt displayed the prevalence of misinformation and conspiracy theories. The Left claims it to be a staged set-up to sway public opinion and garner support. Meanwhile, many on the Right believe it to be an inside job due to the security breach and Secret Service misjudgment, as well as the astonishing lack of vulnerability for a former President.

Overall, the entire country should feel extremely fortunate that Trump’s life was not taken on live television. Such an event would have undoubtedly plunged our nation into absolute chaos, with protests and riots likely to have ensued. The likelihood of counter-violence and a response from Trump supporters would have been dangerously high, throwing the highly contentious and consequential November election into utter plight. 

Both parties and the entire country feel the urgent need to lower political tensions as polarization has reached a clear and evident boiling point. Political violence should never be a characteristic of American democracy, and it is extremely alarming to see this trend emerging more frequently over the last few years.

Former President Trump should make it clear in his first public speech about the attack, likely at this week’s Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, that no one should retaliate or seek vengeance in his name by any means. He must emphasize, as his presidential opponent should, that political violence has absolutely no place in any democracy, especially in the United States. 

In light of the recent incident, the Biden campaign has temporarily taken down Democratic ads openly criticizing Trump. This reaction follows a public address to the nation on Sunday by President Joe Biden, who condemned the attack and emphasized the need for national unity and to “lower the temperature in our politics.” [The Guardian]

This shocking event has thrown the Democratic presidential campaign into short-term disarray. Both President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris canceled and postponed planned speeches for early this week. 

It is clear that following the solemn mood surrounding Saturday’s attack, the Biden team is now forced to pivot away from outright criticism of former President Trump. 

Both Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris have labeled Trump as an “existential threat” and the biggest possible danger to the future of American democracy. [Vox]

It is hard not to attach some blame to this aggressive rhetoric in light of the recent attempt on the former President’s life. 

It will be interesting to see how the Biden campaign adapts after a terrible few weeks, including an abysmal debate performance and ongoing calls from senior Democrats for his resignation from the nomination.

With Donald Trump now surviving an assassination attempt, public opinion will likely shift in his favor as we approach November’s election. Meanwhile, Biden’s campaign and chances of reelection seem shakier and less likely than ever.

– P.T.