08/06 – International News Update

The Palestinian militant group Hamas announced that they have selected Yahya Sinwar as its new chief. 

In a statement Tuesday, the group announced “the selection of Commander Yahya Sinwar as head of the movement’s political bureau, succeeding the martyred leader Ismail Haniyeh, may God have mercy on him.” [CNN] 

This decision comes after Israel’s assassination of Hamas’ previous political leader Ismail Haniyeh last week in Iran. 

Sinwar is the top official in Gaza who is credited as the mastermind behind the October 7 attacks in Israel that killed over 1,200 people and launched Israel’s war in Gaza. 

Sinwar is considered to be at the top of Israel’s hitlist due to his leading role in orchestrating the historic massacre of 1,200 Israelis and taking of over 250 hostages. He leads Hamas’ hardliners and has close ties with Iran. [AP News] 

Sinwar has reportedly remained in Gaza for the duration of the conflict. According to US officials, he has remained at large in the extensive network of tunnels beneath Gaza, moving frequently and possibly surrounded by hostages used as human shields. [CNN] 

Opinion: 

Sinwar’s appointment as the political leader of Hamas strengthens his influence within the movement but may create uncertainty regarding the future of ceasefire and hostage negotiations with Israel.

Analysts note that although Sinwar’s perspective has been a significant factor in these negotiations, his challenges in communicating with the outside world mean that other Hamas officials, led by Haniyeh until his assassination last week, have been handling the specifics of talks with mediators from Qatar and Egypt.

Many believe that even though Sinwar may not have been physically present at most stages of negotiation due to his nature of secrecy, he was undoubtedly being briefed and consulted at every stage of discussion. 

Sinwar has quickly risen to a prominent position within Hamas, leading the movement in Gaza. By choosing Sinwar as their leader, Hamas is not only highlighting Gaza’s significance in the ongoing events but also emphasizing its importance within the movement’s dynamics. 

“This sends a clear message that, when it comes to ceasefire negotiations, Gaza is in control,” says a commentator. [Al Jazeera] 

Born in a refugee camp in Gaza, south of Khan Younis, Sinwar previously headed the Al-Majd security apparatus, which was responsible for targeting Palestinians suspected of collaborating with Israel. He assumed leadership of Hamas in the Gaza Strip in 2017.

Sinwar is among several Hamas leaders for whom the International Criminal Court (ICC) has issued arrest warrants over alleged war crimes committed on October 7. 

“The focus on Gaza and Sinwar is a strong signal of defiance,” said Al Jazeera senior political analyst Marwan Bishara. “It indicates that Hamas is determined to maintain its hold on Gaza and that its leadership will remain there.” [Al Jazeera] 

08/01 – International News Update & Story

Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh was assassinated in Iran after attending the inauguration of the country’s new president, Iran and the militant group said early Wednesday July 31.  [AP News] 

Although not having publicly claimed responsibility, it is widely believed to have been killed by a targeted Israeli airstrike. 

Hamas and Iran quickly blamed Israel for the shock assassination, pledging a harsh and vengeful retaliation.. 

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said Wednesday morning that Iran considers it its “duty to take revenge” for the assassination. “With this action, the criminal and terrorist Zionist regime prepared the ground for a harsh punishment for itself,” he said. [Politico]

In a statement, Hamas said its leader was killed in “a treacherous Zionist raid on his residence in Tehran,” and vowed revenge. [Politico] 

This comes as the second major regional assassination in under 24 hours. The Israeli military killed Hezbollah commander Fouad Shukr in an airstrike in a Beirut suburb on Tuesday July 30. [AP News] 

The killing came as a response to the rocket attack Saturday on the town of Majdal Shams that killed 12 young people in the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights. Israeli leaders and officials deemed Shukr responsible for the deadly strike. 

The U.N. Security Council is convening an emergency meeting today as the U.N.’s top leader calls for international action to prevent escalating tensions in the Middle East. 

UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres warned against a “dangerous escalation” of hostilities in the region. [BBC] 

Iran requested the emergency session, urging the U.N.’s most powerful body to address “Israeli aggression and terrorist attacks.” Iran accuses Israel of killing Hamas leader Haniyeh, with its U.N. ambassador stating that the strikes “indicate an intention to escalate conflict and expand the war throughout the entire region.” [AP News]

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan also weighed in on the issue,  releasing a statement on X condemning the “treacherous assassination” and holding Israel accountable for the attack, which he claimed was intended to undermine the Palestinian cause. He further asserted that “Zionist barbarism will not be able to achieve its goals.” [Politico] 

Iran’s ambassador to the United Nations also accused the United States of being responsible for the death of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh, asserting that it could not have occurred without US authorization and intelligence support.

Earlier today, US Deputy Ambassador Robert Wood stated that “the United States was not aware of or involved in the apparent death of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh,” and added that the US has “no independent confirmation regarding Hamas’s claims about his death.” [CNN] 

Ceasefire talks between Hamas and Israel regarding the conflict in Gaza are now very much at stake. 

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has encouraged Qatar’s prime minister, a crucial mediator in cease-fire negotiations, to persist in efforts to reach an agreement that would “secure the release of hostages, alleviate the suffering of the Palestinian people, and unlock the possibility of broader stability,” according to the State Department. Hamas’ top political officials are based in Qatar. [AP News] 

 On social media, Qatari Prime Minister Mohammed bin Abdulrahman bin Jassim Al Thani questioned, “Can mediation succeed when one party assassinates the negotiator on the other side? Peace requires serious partners and a global stance against the disregard for human life.” [AP News] 

UPDATE

On Thursday, Israel confirmed it killed the head of Hamas’ military wing, Mohammed Deif, in a mid-July airstrike. [Politico] 

Top Iranian officials are set to meet with representatives from Iran’s regional allies, including Lebanon, Iraq, and Yemen, on Thursday to discuss potential retaliation against Israel following the assassination of a Haniyeh in Tehran. [Reuters]

Representatives from Iran’s Palestinian allies, Hamas and Islamic Jihad, along with Yemen’s Tehran-backed Houthi movement, Lebanon’s Hezbollah, and Iraqi resistance groups, will all attend the meeting in Tehran, sources told Reuters. 

“Iran and the resistance members will conduct a thorough assessment after the meeting in Tehran to determine the best and most effective way to retaliate against the Zionist regime (Israel),” said a senior Iranian official. Another Iranian official confirmed that Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and senior members of Iran’s elite Revolutionary Guards would be in attendance. [Reuters] 

“The response of Iran and the resistance front is currently under review,” General Mohammad Baqeri, Iran’s armed forces chief of staff, told state TV on Thursday. “This will undoubtedly happen, and the Zionist regime (Israel) will regret it.”

Ali Akbar Ahmadian, the secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, told Iran’s semi-official Mehr news agency, “All fronts of the resistance will take revenge for Haniyeh’s blood.” Former senior Revolutionary Guards Commander Esmail Kosari stated to state TV, “Iran’s response to the assassination of Martyr Haniyeh will be stronger than before.” [Reuters] 

Opinion: 

Israel has known for quite a while that Haniyeh has been living and leading out of Qatar for quite a while now, which indicates that Israel had a particular motive for assassinating the Hamas leader at this time, place, and in this fashion. 

Taking him out while in Tehran, on the day of inauguration of the Iranian president was surely symbolic and calculated in order to send a clear message to the Iranian regime itself and its proxy groups throughout the region. 

Assassinating him on Iranian soil, in the proximity of presidential events is extremely embarrassing for Iran and specifically at Pezeshkian’s swearing-in ceremony serves as a distasteful warning toward his expressed desire of trying to reset diplomatic relations with the United States. 

Israel is strongly against this sort of renewed dialogue between their greatest enemy and strongest ally whom they rely on so heavily for defense against the Islamic regime.  

Israel is sending bold messages throughout the Middle East to all of its adversaries. Iran’s transnational ‘axis of resistance’ that extends into other states like Palestine, Lebanon, or even home in Iran, are clearly not safe from the extent and capabilities of Israel’s intelligence and operational forces. The Israeli government and its leaders put this on full display by assassinating both Hamas’ political leader and one of Hezbollah’s military commanders—both in the capital of hostile countries, and within hours of each other. 

Ceasefire talks in Gaza are more fragile than ever now considering Hamas will probably be less willing to concede and come to an agreement following Israel’s sudden assassination of its political leader. Haniyeh played an important role in these negotiations for a ceasefire aimed at ending the Israel-Hamas war. 

The likelihood of military escalation throughout the region is ripe considering the blatant show of force and provocation by striking a valued political figure through such a humiliating manner  in Iran’s capital. The Islamic regime has no choice but to pledge and execute what they view as a dutifully required show of retaliation.  

A response from Lebanon’s Hezbollah following the killing of their top commander Fuad Shukr is even more certain now coupled with the aggravating assassination of Haniyeh in Iran. 

Within a week the cautious optimism that surrounded the possibility of a ceasefire in Gaza has now quickly turned into a bracing for impact against inevitable retaliation that risks escalation into a wider regional war. 

It will be interesting to see how Iran and its proxies will choose to respond to this attack and whether Israel will then take it one step further. This is the dangerous reality of tit-for-tat and the dangerous delicacy of maintaining deterrence. 

It still seems unlikely that Iran, Hezbollah, or Israel would be willing or ready to actually engage in an all out war with each other at this moment, so it is vital that following the manner and degree of Iran’s retaliation to the provocative assassination of Haniyeh, Israel chooses restraint and all parties pivot towards a hopeful ceasefire in Gaza regardless. 

Israel and Prime Minister Netanyahu can claim a more potent ‘victory’ now if they advertise the war as a great win following the eradication of these leaders of their enemy militias and reach a deal that ends the ongoing campaign in Gaza. 

Whether Netanyahu personally wants this sort of outcome where his existential war effort concludes and the focus of Israeli politics turns inwards and puts the spotlight on him and his relatively unpopular government is a different question.

For now, international allies like the United States especially must try to finally utilize their influence and demonstrate a significant and effective push towards a ceasefire in Gaza before the window of opportunity gets smaller and smaller.

– P.T.

07/31 – International News Update & Story

Venezuela opposition leader Maria Corina Machado said on Monday that the country’s opposition has 73.2% of the voting tallies from Sunday’s election. [Reuters]

The tallies in possession of the opposition showed a total of 2.75 million votes for Maduro and 6.27 million for his rival, former diplomat Edmundo Gonzalez, Machado said. The numbers were sharply different to the 5.15 million votes the electoral authority said Maduro had won, compared to 4.45 million for Gonzalez. [Reuters]

The electoral authority stated after midnight Sunday that Maduro had won a majority of the vote and proclaimed him president for 2025 to 2031. 

Indications of a stolen election began to surface, accompanied by triumphant early tweets from the president’s relatives. The defense minister, in military uniform, made a televised statement emphasizing the need for peace and order. 

Opposition observers were alarmed by significant irregularities in the vote count. A six-hour delay in announcing the results was attributed by the electoral authority to “terrorists.” Eventually, the authorities declared a decisive victory for Mr. Maduro. [Politico] 

The claim was widely disputed. An exit poll by Edison Research indicated Mr. González led by 65% to 31%. The Edison Research exit poll was conducted nationwide with 6,846 voters interviewed at 100 polling locations. 

The opposition rejected the official results, asserting that Mr. González had actually won with 70% of the vote, based on their own counts from individual polling stations. Each polling station is supposed to print and electronically send its results to the main count, which should be available for opposition verification. [Politico] 

Edmundo González,  a 74-year-old retired diplomat, was a surprise last-minute choice for the opposition. He  was relatively unknown until April when he replaced the prominent opposition figure Machado. Machado was barred from holding office for 15 years by the Maduro-controlled supreme court, leading to González’s unexpected candidacy at the age of 74. [AP News] 

Former lawmaker Machado won the opposition’s October primary by a landslide, securing over 90% of the vote. After being barred from the presidential race, she selected a college professor as her replacement, but the National Electoral Council prevented this registration as well. Subsequently, González, a political newcomer, was chosen as the candidate. 

Machado had called on the country’s military to uphold the results of the vote. The armed forces have long supported Maduro and there have been no public signs leaders were breaking from the government.

Thousands of protestors have begun taking to the streets to demonstrate against what many believe to be a stolen election. Many have gathered in towns and cities across Venezuela on Monday, including near the presidential palace in Caracas and outside some electoral authority offices. 

“I speak to you with the calmness of the truth,” González said as dozens of supporters cheered outside campaign headquarters in the capital, Caracas. “We have in our hands the tally sheets that demonstrate our categorical and mathematically irreversible victory.” [AP News] 

These public demonstrations have been met with hundreds of heavily armed government security forces. 

Protesters are continuing to take to the streets in mass Tuesday, holding marches and waving flags to demand President Nicolas Maduro acknowledge that he lost Sunday’s election, in what the Venezuelan government has now denounced as an attempted “coup” against Maduro. [Reuters]  

At least 16 people — including one soldier — have died and about 750 more have been arrested as a result of protests that have erupted following Sunday’s presidential election. [New York Times] 

Many Venezuelan voters were disheartened and outraged by the news of Maduro securing another six-year term, during which he oversaw an economic collapse, the exodus of approximately one-third of the population, and significant diplomatic setbacks. These setbacks include sanctions from the United States, the European Union, and other entities that have severely impacted an already struggling oil industry.

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken expressed significant concerns that the official results did not accurately represent the people’s votes. Biden administration officials, speaking to reporters anonymously, accused the government of “electoral manipulation.” [Reuters] 

Brazil and the European Union also demanded transparency regarding the polling data, whereas Russia, Cuba, Honduras, and Bolivia celebrated Maduro’s purported victory. 

Argentinian President Javier Milei announced on X, ““Venezuelans chose to end the communist dictatorship of Nicolás Maduro…Argentina will not recognize another fraud.” Uruguay’s President Luis Lacalle Pou and Peru’s Foreign Minister Javier González-Olaechea also dismissed the results as fraudulent. [Forbes] 

Costa Rica even said it was prepared to give political asylum to Machado and Gonzalez. On X, Machado thanked the government but said her priority was to “continue this struggle” from Venezuela. 

Opinion: 

It is clear that Maduro ran a completely fraudulent election. Voter turnout was reportedly very high, with many Venezuelan voters ready to actually try and take back and rebuild their faltering nation. 

His control of the armed forces is the only way he will try to maintain his grip on power. The previous presidential election in 2018, is widely recognized to have been fraudulently won by Maduro in the same fashion. 

For the opposition, their immediate goal as of now is likely to convince the Venezuelan public that the election is clearly stolen by pushing for as many polling stations as possible to release the real, printed results.

They must also try to lean heavily on international outcry and condemnation from other states on the blatant eradication of democracy in Venezuela. Once, the richest country in Latin America, a multi-decade path through Socialism has utterly destroyed the country’s economy and infrastructure, with nearly one-third of its population fleeing throughout Maduro’s two terms of dictatorship. The hyperinflation from earlier in Mr Maduro’s rule has eased, yet inflation still runs at an annual 50%. In the eight years to 2021 GDP fell by three-quarters. [Politico] 

A slim avenue of hope could be that members of the state’s armed forces begin to sympathize with their own people and turn against their tyrannous leader. A message for the military: the people of Venezuela have spoken. They don’t want Maduro,” Ms Machado, the opposition leader, tweeted. “It is time to put yourselves on the right side of history. You have a chance and it’s now.” [Politico] 

The ruling Socialist party backing Maduro maintains strict control over the voting system through a loyal five-member electoral council and a network of long-standing local party coordinators who have almost unrestricted access to voting centers. These coordinators have prevented opposition party representatives from entering voting centers. This exclusion, which is legally allowed for overseeing the voting process, counting votes, and obtaining the machines’ final tally sheets, ensures the ruling party’s influence over the election.

It is eerily telling of what’s at stake on the matter of democracy, as the only countries to have recognized Maduro’s victory are Russia, China, Cuba, Nicaragua, Honduras and Bolivia. 

Without publishing official results, it is hard to believe that any Venezuelan citizens will respect the validity of the claimed election more than they already do. The question now will be how far are the people willing to go to take back their freedom through popular outcry and public mobilization. And if so, how violent can things really become if Maduro and his party double down even harder on their repression in order to cling onto power.  

– P.T.

07/30 – International News Update

A rocket strike hit the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights on Saturday July 27. The rocket hit a soccer field in the Druze village of Majdal Shams, killing 12 people, all of whom were children and teenagers. [Reuters]

Israeli authorities are casting blame for the attack on the Iranian-backed Lebanese militant group Hezbollah. 

Hezbollah has denied responsibility for the strike, which is the deadliest attack thus far between the consistent violence and elevated tensions between the Israel and the Lebanese militia since the beginning of the war in Gaza.  In a written statement, Hezbollah said: “The Islamic Resistance has absolutely nothing to do with the incident, and categorically denies all false allegations in this regard” [Reuters] 

The Israeli military said the rocket launch was carried out from an area located north of the village of Chebaa in southern Lebanon, and Israeli military spokesperson Rear Admiral Daniel Hagari said that forensics showed the rocket was an Iranian-made Falaq-1. 

Hezbollah has fired around 6000 projectiles toward military targets in Israel since the beginning of the country’s war against Hamas in Gaza. This is the first strike the Lebanese militant group has explicitly denied responsibility for. [The Economist]  

The White House on Sunday also blamed Hezbollah for the Golan Heights strike. “This attack was conducted by Lebanese Hezbollah. It was their rocket, and launched from an area they control,” it said in a statement. [Reuters] 

The U.S. and other allies are working diligently now to push for a diplomatic solution against any further escalation of the conflict between Israel and Lebanese Hezbollah. 

Many countries are expressing concern of a comprehensive regional war, urging restraint as the tensions are now even higher than ever following several months of daily exchanges of fire between the Israeli military and Hezbollah fighters across the Lebanese border.  

Israel has vowed to inflict a painful response on Hezbollah following this attack, greatly increasing the likelihood of  widening the scope of this conflict. 

This was the deadliest attack on Israeli-controlled territory since October 7th, when Hamas, a Palestinian militant group, murdered around 1,200 people. [The Economist] 

“Hezbollah will pay a heavy price, the kind it has thus far not paid,” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said in a phone call with the leader of the Druze community in Israel, according to a statement from his office. [Reuters] 

Following their pledge to retaliate against Hezbollah in Lebanon, Israeli jets struck targets in southern Lebanon on Sunday. However, there are still many expectations of a stronger response following a security cabinet meeting convened by Netanyahu in Tel Aviv. 

After the meeting, Netanyahu’s office announced that the cabinet “authorized the Prime Minister and the Defense Minister to determine the manner and timing of the response.” [Reuters] 

The United States especially is now leading a desperate charge to restrain Israel’s response, urging them to stray away from bombing Lebanon’s capital Beirut or any major civil infrastructure like key airports or bridges. 

White House spokesperson John Kirby told reporters that Israel had every right to respond to the Golan strike. “But nobody wants a broader war,” he added. [Reuters]

Opinion: 

Hezbollah denies involvement in the rocket strike, but this is difficult to believe since they had announced several rocket attacks on Israeli military positions just beforehand. The discovered rocket had traceable evidence linking it to the militant group and was the same type of Iranian-made rocket that was announced to be fired at Israeli military targets hours earlier. 

Provoking Israel through a civilian attack, which would likely lead to direct war, is not ideal for Hezbollah at this moment. Therefore, it is very likely that the rocket that hit the soccer field was a misfire intended for a military target.

“[The projectile] was clearly a mistake, and Hezbollah is not interested in targeting Druze, but Hezbollah was hitting Israeli positions about 2.5km [1.5 miles] away from Majdal Shams, so it is possible that it made a targeting error,” said Nicholas Blanford, an expert on Hezbollah with the Atlantic Council think tank. [Al Jazeera] 

Israel is unlikely to engage in a conflict that would lead to an all-out war with Hezbollah. Their primary focus remains on eradicating Hamas in Gaza, a campaign their leaders consider unfinished. Therefore, it would be impractical to stretch their military resources thin with a larger conflict on the opposite border against the much larger and better-equipped Hezbollah.

Israeli intelligence estimates that Hezbollah’s weapons stockpile is over seven times larger than Hamas’s and includes significantly more lethal weapons. This arsenal includes hundreds of attack drones and approximately 130,000–150,000 rockets and missiles, including ballistic missiles capable of reaching Tel Aviv and even farther south, effectively covering the entire country. [Foreign Affairs] 

Israel’s government is likely to frame this attack as an act of terror orchestrated by the Iranian-led Axis of Resistance, leveraging the tragedy to garner international support and solidarity for their security and defense efforts. By emphasizing the deaths of children and members of an ethnic minority group, Israel aims to highlight the brutality of their regional adversaries.

This will benefit both their war effort and their international image, as Israel continues to face a challenging PR battle due to the large-scale civilian deaths and tragedies in the Gaza Strip resulting from their conflict with the Palestinian militant group Hamas. This remains a significant issue for Israel’s campaign in terms of public opinion, evident in the controversial divisiveness and protests that greeted Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s visit to the United States last week. 

It would be irrational to think that a major war between Israel and Hezbollah isn’t likely in the relatively near future. However, even the most dedicated Israelis would probably agree that now is not the time to engage in this conflict, given the ongoing situation in Gaza.

If Israel initiates a ground operation against Hezbollah to create a buffer zone and prevent further attacks, the conflict is likely to be prolonged. Hezbollah recognizes that a full-scale war with Israel would endanger its future and regional standing, as shown by its restrained response to recent provocations. Such a conflict would also harm Hezbollah’s domestic reputation, as Lebanon would struggle to rebuild afterward. 

In previous negotiations with Hezbollah, Israel has demanded that the group withdraw behind a ten-kilometer buffer zone in southern Lebanon. This is challenging since Hezbollah members reside in these areas, making monitoring difficult. Hezbollah, in turn, seeks an end to Israeli violations of Lebanese airspace, a significant request as Israel aims to maintain its surveillance and strike capabilities in Syria. However, if Arab states help broker a U.S.-backed cease-fire in Gaza, a compromise might be achievable. [Foreign Affairs] 

As negotiations progress, Hezbollah is likely to continue avoiding actions that could provoke a full-scale war with Israel. This restraint, especially as Israeli operations in Gaza become less intense, is key to avoiding escalation. Mediators like Hochstein should focus on preventing Israeli attacks on southern Lebanese cities such as Nabatiyah and Tyre, which could force Hezbollah into a stronger response. 

For now, It seems that all parties involved in the current conflict—Israel, Hezbollah, Iran, the Lebanese government, and the United States—have compelling reasons and intentions to avoid escalation into an expansive regional war.

– P.T.

07/27 – International News Story & Updates

French President Emmanuel Macron announced earlier this week that his outgoing government will remain in place until mid-August, prioritizing stability during the Olympic Games in Paris. [Reuters]

Macron stated that he will not select a new government until after the Paris Olympics. [BBC]

Macron’s decision came amid a left-wing alliance’s bid to name financial crime specialist Lucie Castets as their candidate for prime minister, following their win in the recent parliamentary elections.

The left-wing coalition, New Popular Front, secured the most seats in this month’s parliamentary elections; yet they fell far short of achieving a majority. 

Macron clearly displayed his rejection of the Left’s PM choice to nominate Castets shortly after the relatively unknown civil servant was suggested for the position. 

France’s newly fragmented parliament, divided into three main blocs, has resulted in a deadlock, preventing any single party from forming a majority government.

In a televised interview, Macron dismissed the Left’s proposal, emphasizing that the focus should be on creating a workable majority in the National Assembly rather than on specific names. 

Left-wing politicians accused him of trying to “cancel the result of the legislative elections.” [BBC] 

President Macron’s ruling centrist alliance suffered heavy losses in the elections, but he asked Prime Minister Gabriel Attal and his ministers to stay on in the form of a caretaker government until replacements are appointed.

Macron criticized the Left for not securing enough seats and their unwillingness to negotiate with other political forces, underscoring that it is the president’s constitutional prerogative to appoint the prime minister. [Reuters]

The leftist New Popular Front coalition, which includes the hard-left France Unbowed, the Socialists, the Greens, and the Communists, has been embroiled in internal disputes over their prime ministerial candidate. 

Despite their success in the elections, they lack the numbers to impose their choice, as Macron’s centrists also seek to form a functional government.

Macron’s stance has drawn sharp criticism from left-wing leaders, who accuse him of being out of touch with the public’s will. Nevertheless, Macron maintains that ensuring a stable government during the Olympic Games is of utmost priority, pushing back against the left’s attempts to leverage their electoral gains.

“The subject is not a name given by a political party,” Macron told broadcaster France 2. “We need to concentrate on the Games until mid-August,” he said. “From then it will be my responsibility to name a prime minister (…) with the broadest possible backing.” [Le Monde] 

Opinion: 

As France gears up to host the world games, political deadlock persists, with President Macron advocating for broader coalition-building to tackle crucial national issues. Macron did not specify the nature of the coalition he envisions but emphasized the importance of addressing the key concerns like immigration and security. His comments have reignited speculation about a potential alliance between Macron’s centrist party and the conservatives to govern France. [Politico] 

He secured a significant victory recently when a cross-party agreement was reached with the Republican Right political group, which was formed after some conservatives aligned with the far right, to reelect centrist Yaël Braun-Pivet as president of the National Assembly on July 18. [Politico] 

Left-leaning parliament members are heavily criticizing Macron’s actions, claiming that Macron is going against the elected majority of the new parliament and in effect ignoring the votes and wishes of the people. 

Leaders within the left-wing alliance are calling out Macron, alleging that he is trying to impose his own Republican coalition push through non-leftist led government.

– P.T.

07/27 – International News Story and Updates

VISIT TO CONGRESS

Israeli Prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu gave a speech addressing a joint-meeting in Congress Wednesday July 24. 

Netanyahu emphasized the vital importance of the longstanding alliance and close ties between the United States and Israel. 

“America and Israel must stand together. When we stand together something really simple happens: We win, they lose,” said Netanyahu [AP News]

The Israeli leader harshly criticized the popular resistance and divided the American public in relation to his war effort. When referring to the protests that erupted across college campuses and the demonstrations in D.C. related to his visit, Netanayhu labeled protestors as “useful idiots” for Iran and other enemies of Israel. [AP News] 

“These protesters that stand with them, they should be ashamed of themselves”, said Netanyahu. 

In anticipation of Netanyahu’s arrival, thousands of anti-war protestors gathered in Washington D.C. and clashed with police during and following his speech. 

After Netanyahu concluded his address to Congress, protestors marched on with their fiery demonstrations against Israel’s actions in Gaza. Many protestors quickly turned violent as they marched on to Union Station, where police arrested and pepper-sprayed multiple demonstrators. 

Protesters were seen burning an effigy of Netanyahu, even desecrating and replacing American flags with Palestinian ones. [NBC] 

Netanyahu used his speech to thank the US for its support, but urged it to speed up military aid to Israel, saying this could “dramatically expedite” an end to the Gaza conflict [BBC] 

He did not give an indication that Israel will scale back its military efforts in Gaza. 

“Israel will fight until we destroy Hamas’s military capabilities and its rule in Gaza and bring all our hostages home. That’s what total victory means. And we will settle for nothing less”, he claimed. 

A notable chunk of American representatives decided not to attend or display a boycott to Netanyahu’s speech. 

This included Former Speaker Nancy Pelosi, who later called Netanyahu’s speech “the worst presentation of any foreign dignitary invited and honored with the privilege of addressing the Congress.” [AP News]

The Israeli PM was often showered with applause throughout his speech, but also criticized and publicly reprimanded by many Democrats, including Rep. Rashida Tlaib. Tlaib, the only Palestinian American serving Congress, went a step further, holding a sign that said “WAR CRIMINAL” on one side and “GUILTY OF GENOCIDE” on the other. [AP News]

Netanyahu’s speech this week marked his fourth time addressing the U.S. Congress, surpassing Winston Churchill to have done so more than any other foreign leader. 

MEETING WITH BIDEN AND HARRIS 

Benjamin Netanyahu made his way to the White House Thursday to meet with President Joe Biden, as well Democratic Presidential Nominee Vice President Kamala Harris. 

The leaders reportedly all discussed the urgency of a ceasefire agreement. US officials are optimistic that a deal is near, and Biden is reportedly pressing Netanyahu to accept it. [CNN]

A senior administration official noted, “We’re closer than we’ve ever been. It’s up to the Israelis to accept it.” [CNN] 

The White House readout emphasized Biden’s push for a swift resolution, highlighting the need to finalize the deal, address the humanitarian crisis in Gaza, and protect civilian lives during military operations. [The White House] 

Biden also met with families of American hostages in Gaza, applying additional pressure on Netanyahu to finalize the agreement. 

Netanyahu highlighted his long-standing relationship with Biden, expressing gratitude for his support for Israel over the past 50 years, many of which the two politicians have known each other. 

“From a proud Jewish Zionist to a proud Irish American Zionist, I want to thank you for 50 years of public service and 50 years of support for the state of Israel,” Netanyahu told Biden. [AP News] 

Biden has continued to support Israel, despite criticism of its actions in Gaza and the humanitarian toll. 

Vice President Kamala Harris, who met with Netanyahu after Biden, emphasized the urgency of reaching a ceasefire and condemned the suffering in Gaza.

On Thursday, Harris expressed outrage over protesters tagging areas near the U.S. Capitol with pro-Hamas graffiti, showing support for the militants, and burning a U.S. flag at Union Station.

“Pro-Hamas graffiti and rhetoric is abhorrent and we must not tolerate it in our nation,” Harris said in a statement. “I condemn the burning of the American flag. That flag is a symbol of our highest ideals as a nation and represents the promise of America. It should never be desecrated in that way.” [AP News] 

Harris also denounced the brutality of Hamas. White House national security spokesperson John Kirby reaffirmed the administration’s stance that the militant group, responsible for killing approximately 1,200 people on October 7 and kidnapping 250 from Israel, is ultimately accountable for the suffering in Gaza and must reach an agreement with Israel. [AP News] 

Harris displayed a much more vocal stance on the issues surrounding military operations with Gaza and the need to reach a deal when speaking with Netanyahu. 

“What has happened in Gaza over the past nine months is devastating. The images of dead children and desperate, hungry people fleeing for safety, sometimes displaced for the second, third or fourth time,” Harris said. “We cannot look away in the face of these tragedies. We cannot allow ourselves to become numb to the suffering. And I will not be silent.” [AP News] 

In a briefing with reporters, Israeli officials revealed that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was displeased with Vice President Kamala Harris’ public statement following their recent meeting, fearing this could jeopardize cease-fire talks. [Axios] 

Harris, after a 40-minute discussion with Netanyahu, made an on-camera statement urging for the swift conclusion of a hostage and ceasefire deal. “It is time for this war to end in a way where Israel is secure, all the hostages are released, the suffering of Palestinians in Gaza ends, and the Palestinian people can exercise their right to freedom, dignity, and self-determination,” she asserted. 

Two Israeli officials indicated afterwards that Netanyahu’s meeting with Biden was more productive compared to his session with Harris, although the latter was not described as tense or difficult. They were caught off guard by Harris’ public statement, which they felt was more critical than her private remarks. [Axios] 

Netanyahu was reportedly disturbed by Harris framing the hostage and ceasefire deal as an end to the war, as Israel intends to maintain the option to resume fighting post-deal. He was also unhappy with her public criticism of Israel regarding the humanitarian crisis and civilian casualties in Gaza, especially given the timing amid delicate negotiations. 

The Israeli official told Axios, “When our enemies see the U.S. and Israel are aligned, it increases the chances for a hostage deal and decreases the chances for a regional escalation. When there is such daylight, it pushes the deal further away and brings a regional escalation closer. We hope that Harris’ public criticism of Israel won’t give Hamas the impression that there is daylight between the U.S. and Israel and, as a result, make it harder to get a deal.” [Fox News] 

Another Israeli official added that Harris’ public statement appeared more critical than her private remarks to Netanyahu.

White House aides to Harris disputed these claims and criticisms regarding Harris’ tone towards Netanyahu. 

NETANYAHU MEETS WITH TRUMP 

Former President Donald Trump met with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Friday July 27, marking their first meeting since Trump left office over three years ago.   

The meeting was apparently held as requested by Netanyahu at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago residence. 

The meeting presented an opportunity for Trump and Netanyahu to reset their relationship amid the Israel-Hamas conflict and the 2024 election cycle. Although Trump once touted a close relationship with Netanyahu, tensions have arisen in recent years, particularly following Netanyahu’s congratulatory message to Biden after the 2020 election, which Trump perceived as disloyal.

Despite these tensions, a senior Trump campaign adviser noted that Trump’s willingness to meet with Netanyahu demonstrates his ability to prioritize important relationships over personal grievances.

There was no specific agenda for the meeting, but Trump has consistently advocated for a swift resolution to the Middle East conflict. He has argued that Israel is losing the public relations battle and needs to act quickly.

This encounter  follows Netanyahu’s address to Congress and meetings with President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris at the White House.       

Harris, the presumptive Democratic nominee, emphasized the importance of addressing civilian suffering and ending the ongoing conflict in a public statement critical of the destruction in Gaza after  her discussions with Netanyahu. Hariss’ critical tone reportedly irked Netanyahu and provided unease amongst Israeli officials on the likelihood of an effective ceasefire deal being reached. 

Netanyahu expressed his hope that Harris’ comments would not hinder the prospects of a ceasefire. “I think to the extent that Hamas understands there’s no daylight between Israel and the United States, that expedites the deal,” Netanyahu said. He added, “And I would hope that those comments don’t change that.” [CNN] 

Trump criticized Harris, describing her remarks as “disrespectful to Israel.” He questioned how Jewish voters could support her, saying, “I think her remarks were disrespectful. They weren’t very nice pertaining to Israel. I actually don’t know how a person who is Jewish could vote for her, but that’s up to them.” [CNN] 

The meeting marked the first encounter between former President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu since Trump left the White House in 2020. 

Although Trump once touted a close relationship with Netanyahu, tensions have arisen in recent years, particularly following Netanyahu’s congratulatory message to Biden after the 2020 election, which Trump perceived as disloyal.

The two appeared to have recently reconciled, however. “We’ve always had a good relationship,” Trump told reporters ahead of the meeting. [The Guardian]

Previously, Trump and Netanyahu were strong political allies. During Trump’s first term, he significantly supported Netanyahu by moving the U.S. embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem and recognizing Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights. 

In a recent interview with Fox News, Trump urged Israel to swiftly conclude the conflict and rescue hostages, commenting, “They are getting decimated with this publicity, and you know Israel is not very good at public relations.” [The Guardian] 

Opinion: 

The gathering marked Biden’s first with a world leader since announcing his withdrawal from the 2024 presidential race. Resolving the Israel-Hamas conflict is seen as crucial for Biden’s legacy. The President and his team are likely to push for a ceasefire deal to bring this conflict to an end, allowing them to claim a victorious resolution to a devastating war that has significantly impacted Biden’s administration and domestic opinion.

The Democratic party, particularly presumptive nominee Kamala Harris, is particularly eager to end the war before the election. Harris aims to highlight her role in pressuring Netanyahu and condemning the atrocities committed against innocent Palestinians, seeking to win over American voters who have sharply criticized Israel’s response to the October 7 Hamas attacks.

Kamala Harris is now taking a leading role, especially in U.S.-Israel relations, while maintaining policies consistent with the Biden administration. She made public statements following meetings with Netanyahu, not President Biden. As the party pushes her election campaign, Harris is increasingly acting like the leader, amidst a growing national awareness of Biden’s cognitive decline.

Both Biden and Harris met and spoke with Netanyahu in private, but it was Harris who made the televised public statement with American flags in the background. It’s important to remember that Biden is still the President and Harris is his Vice President. However, it is increasingly clear that the Democratic party and media are adamantly trying to shift the spotlight from Biden, especially now that he has been successfully removed from the ballot.

The dynamics of this meeting with a notable foreign leader signal Harris taking over the reins of power from Biden. She effectively ascended to the Democratic nomination for President in a short matter of days after Biden’s decision to step down. Despite Biden pledging to fulfill his duties as President through the remainder of his term, Harris is fully committed to her election campaign and demonstrating her leadership capabilities by practically running the country already.

Harris is clearly appealing to the cameras to appease her progressive base, which is largely disillusioned with bipartisan support for Israel’s military efforts in Gaza. Israeli officials, including Netanyahu, noted a disparity between Harris’ critical public statements and the private discussions she held with the Israeli PM. The likely reality is that Harris was more affirming in private but adopted a strong, critical public stance to win over the pro-Palestine faction of American voters who have been adamantly disapproving of Israel’s actions in Gaza. 

Netanyahu is likely meeting with Trump to assure himself that he will have the unwavering support of Israel if he does assume the presidency next year. 

For Trump, this is his way of capturing possible Jewish votes from those that dislike Harris’ shaky support of Israel. He is also trying to be concrete on the Republican party’s staunch support of Israel and prioritizing them as a military ally. Trump famously regards himself as someone who can prevent and quickly put an end to international wars. 

Netanyahu is likely meeting with Trump to secure assurances of unwavering support for Israel if Trump assumes the presidency next year. For Trump, this is a strategy to capture Jewish votes and emphasize the Republican party’s staunch support of Israel as a military ally in relation to Harris’ shaky support and unnerving comments. 

Trump famously prides himself on his ability to prevent and quickly resolve international conflicts. Therefore demonstrating productive relations and understanding with the man at the helm  of one of the world’s most devastating and flaring  conflicts can enhance this aspect of his advertised persona. 

– P.T.

07/25 – International News Story & Update

Britain and Germany signed a joint defense declaration on Wednesday July 24.

The two countries committed to closer collaboration in order to strengthen their defense industries, bolster European security, and support Ukraine against Russian aggression. [Reuters] 

British Defense Minister John Healey and German counterpart Boris Pistorius signed a cooperation deal in Berlin on, pledging enhanced industrial coordination and joint operations. [Politico]

Healey emphasized that European security is a top priority for the UK’s new government, while Pistorius highlighted the importance of strengthening the arms industry and standardizing weapons systems.

“These visits send a clear message that European security will be this government’s first foreign and defense priority,” Healey said in a statement. 

“We want to strengthen our arms industry,” Pistorius said, standing next to Healey. “We want to work more closely together in the development, production and procurement of weapons and ammunition.” [Politico] 

Healey’s visit to Berlin is part of a two-day trip that includes stops in France, Poland, and Estonia, demonstrating the new Labour government’s dedication to deepening defense ties with European allies. 

This push for stronger relations aligns with NATO’s efforts to address the significant costs and challenges of enhancing Europe’s defenses in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

The declaration outlines plans for Britain and Germany to support the European defense industrial base, initiate joint procurement projects, and collaborate on research and development to boost production and innovation. 

Prime Minister Keir Starmer has emphasized the importance of improved cooperation with European allies to better support Ukraine and has even proposed a UK-EU security pact covering various areas, including energy, supply chains, pandemics, and migration. [Reuters] 

Opinion: 

Germany and Britain, Europe’s top military aid donors to Ukraine, have solidified their defense alliance amidst growing fears that a potential Donald Trump victory in the U.S. election could jeopardize European security. 

Concerns have heightened with Trump selecting J.D. Vance as his running mate, a critic of U.S. financial aid to Ukraine, as his running mate.

The agreement marks the beginning of a new, robust defense relationship between the UK and Germany, and one that both nations will attempt to fortify moving forward. 

With Europe rattled at the uncertainty of a highly possible Trump-Vance victory in November, the continent’s political leaders have heard their wake up call to start organizing and cooperating amongst themselves when it comes to defense. 

European nations must prepare for a potential shift in American foreign policy. Trump and Vance have both expressed sentiments of reluctance towards providing what both have echoed as “blank checks” to Ukraine in their attempts to fight Russia. [Politico] 

The agreement between Britain and Germany is a proactive step towards addressing critical deficiencies within NATO, and by fostering joint procurement initiatives and collaborative research and development, these European heavyweight nations are attempting to set  a precedent for other European countries to follow.

– P.T.

07/24 – International News Update

WASHINGTON D.C. —

President Joe Biden addressed the nation in a live speech from the Oval Office in Washington D.C. on Wednesday evening. 

Biden announced directly to voters on Wednesday his decision to abandon his reelection campaign and endorse Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic candidate, citing the need to unite the country and safeguard democracy.

In his Oval Office address, Biden, 81, emphasized that the defense of democracy outweighs personal ambition, reflecting on his 50 years in public office.

“But nothing, nothing can come in the way of saving our democracy. That includes personal ambition,” he said. “So I decided the best way forward is to pass the torch to a new generation. That is the best way to unite our nation.”, said the President. [Reuters] 

Biden praised his Vice President Kamala Harris as a strong leader, capable of guiding the nation forward, and expressed confidence in her ability to win the presidency. 

“She’s experienced, she’s tough, she’s capable. She’s been an incredible partner to me and a leader for our country. Now the choice is up to you, the American people,” he said. [Reuters] 

In his address, President Biden aimed to highlight the election’s significance, portraying it as a pivotal choice between freedom and chaos, a narrative both he and Vice President Harris have emphasized. Despite this, Biden avoided overtly campaigning from his official capacity.

“The beauty of America is that it is not ruled by kings or dictators,” Biden stated. “The power belongs to the people. History is shaped by your hands. The essence of America is in your hands.” [AP News] 

Harris, the first Black woman and Asian American vice president, has since gained substantial support and financial donations within the Democratic Party and invigorated its election campaign.

Biden asserted that as he transitions out of his presidential bid, he remains focused on his current term’s agenda, including lowering costs for families, defending civil rights, and addressing climate change.  

He outlined an extensive agenda for his remaining six months in office, committing to stay dedicated to his presidential duties until his term concludes on January 20, 2025. Biden vowed to work on ending the conflict between Israel and Hamas in Gaza, increasing government support for cancer research, tackling climate change, and advocating for Supreme Court reform. [AP News] 

The Democratic National Committee plans to formally nominate Harris by early August, with a significant fundraising surge already bolstering her campaign.

This is undoubtedly a historic moment. A sitting U.S. president explaining to the nation his rare decision to voluntarily relinquish power and step away from the nomination. Such a step hasn’t been taken since 1968, when Lyndon Johnson declared he would not seek reelection amidst the Vietnam War. 

“I have decided the best way forward is to pass the torch to a new generation,” Biden said, saying he wanted to make room for “fresh voices, yes, younger voices.” – “That is the best way to unite our nation.” 

Opinion: 

The announcement finally came three days after the President revealed his decision to withdraw from the race via a letter posted on the social media platform X. 

Until earlier today, Biden had not been seen publicly for almost a week, following reports of his COVID diagnosis. The absence of any public appearances or trustworthy communications from the President in the days surrounding his monumental decision led to growing suspicion and mounting theories among citizens. 

His choice to withdraw followed a challenging June debate with Donald Trump, which raised doubts about his ability to secure another term. This was compounded by several public political blunders and resulted in overwhelming pressure from within his own party to step down. 

The Democrats are now focusing on the ‘passing the torch’ and ‘new generation’ narrative as their key strategy to win the election. This can be seen through what is being carved out to be Kamala Harris’ emerging campaign slogan, “We’re not going back.” 

They aim to turn around the age argument, Biden’s biggest detriment, to their advantage by positioning 59-year-old Kamala Harris against 78-year-old Donald Trump.

– P.T.

07/24 – International News Story

Donald Tusk, the Polish prime minister, currently faces significant political blowback in the fallout of his recent failure  to fulfill his major campaign promise of increasing access to abortion.

Despite a strong election victory in October, bolstered by pledges to restore the rule of law and introduce liberal reforms, including same-sex partnerships and easing anti-abortion laws, Tusk encountered a major political defeat on July 12 when he brought the matter to parliament. 

This recent attempt by lawmakers to draft a law aimed at removing this punishment for abortion assistance was shot down by members of parliament by 218 votes against the 215 that were in favor. [Barron’s]

The right-wing Law and Justice (PiS) party, which governed Poland for eight years until October’s election, implemented a near-total abortion ban in 2020. The current law holds that abortion is only permitted in cases of rape, incest, or when the woman’s life is at risk.

Poland has one of Europe’s strictest laws surrounding abortion, with a penalty of up to three years in jail for even aiding an abortion. 

Protests have erupted throughout Poland as several thousand voters take to the streets to challenge the parliament’s decision to reject a bill decriminalizing assisting abortion. [Barron’s] 

These protests were mostly lead by Women’s rights groups, but were also met with counter-demonstration from anti-abortion activists

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk, stated on Tuesday that he felt “very bad that I haven’t found arguments that would convince” those who voted against the bill.” [Politico]

Tusk removed an MP from the position of deputy minister and suspended two MPs from his Civic Coalition party who did not vote for the proposal following the vote. [Politico] 

Opinion: 

Poland is a country with a strong Catholic presence and heritage, exemplifying the modern tug-of-war between conservative religious values and access to modern reproductive rights. Women’s rights to their bodies and decisions surrounding childbirth should be increasingly considered a fundamental human right as we move further into the 21st century, yet there seems to be consistent resistance among government’s of the world’s advanced nations. 

Instances of women dying after being denied abortions and facing complications have significantly eroded the popularity of the ruling Law and Justice (PiS) party.

Ahead of the most recent vote, Donald Tusk emphasized that decriminalizing abortion is central to his reform agenda for the country. Many voters supported Tusk’s centrist coalition in October, driven by his promise to expand abortion rights and address the strict punishments surrounding the procedure. His party secured a sizable portion of the female vote, highlighting the importance of this issue for women.

Some members of conservative parties argue that abortion is not as high a priority for Polish citizens as other issues like national security, border defense, the economy, and healthcare. T

his argument is partly supported by Poland’s defense spending, which is 4% of its GDP—the highest of any European state and double the 2% spending target for NATO members. Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski stated that the Polish government plans to increase defense spending to 5% of GDP by 2025. [Reuters] 

Despite this, for a country with around 40 million people, the issue of looser access to abortion remains a central concern for young female voters. It will be interesting to see if Tusk’s ruling coalition can withstand a potential backlash in public opinion if they fail to deliver on this key campaign promise. 

The Left aims to resubmit its decriminalization proposal, hoping to pass it narrowly with support from its backers and potential absenteeism among opposing MPs.

The Left aims to resubmit its decriminalization proposal, banking on potential absenteeism among opposing MPs and strong support from its backers to narrowly pass the bill. However, President Andrzej Duda, a conservative Catholic ally representing the right-wing opposition PiS party, is expected to veto any bill increasing abortion access. 

This veto could be pivotal in mobilizing liberal voters to support an anti-PiS candidate in the next presidential election, provided the coalition manages to advance the bill to Duda’s desk.

Many Polish citizens feel that they propelled the ruling coalition to victory based on the promises of progressive reform and increased reproductive rights, however, disillusionment and betrayal now stain the judgment of Tusk and his party following this recent defeat. 

– P.T.

07/22 – International News Update & Analysis

This past Sunday, July 21, President Joe Biden publicly announced his decision to step down as the Democratic nominee for President and not seek reelection in November. 

Following his announcement on X, Biden offered his full support and endorsement to Vice President Kamala Harris to be the Democratic nominee for president at this year’s election. [X] 

Biden pledged to finish his tenure and remain in office as president until the end of his term in January 2025. [Reuters]

Immediately following the announcement, Harris and her campaign began garnering support from Democrats throughout the party. Recent surveys show that Harris already has well over enough delegates’ support to win the official delegate vote for nominee at the upcoming Democratic National Convention in Chicago on August 19. [Reuters] 

Recent reports claim that the Harris campaign has raised over $81 million dollars in 24 hours. 

Since Biden’s resignation from the presidential race and public endorsement of Harris, virtually all of the current Vice President’s possible challengers for the nomination have come out supporting Harris’ campaign. This includes top governor choices such as Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan, Gavin Newsom of California, Andy Beshear of Kentucky, Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania, and J.B. Pritzker of Illinois. 

The path to the nomination is all but clear for Harris at this point in the race. 

The AFL-CIO labor union federation, which represented more than 12.5 million labor workers, also declared its institutional support for Harris. [Reuters] 

Harris also received the support of former Speaker Nancy Pelosi, and both Bill and Hillary Clinton. She did not, however, receive an endorsement from former President Barack Obama, who praised Biden for his decision to step down from the race and stated that an “outstanding nominee” would be selected in an open process at the upcoming convention. [New York Post] 

Recent polls show that Harris typically falls on average about two percentage points behind Donald Trump. The 46% to 48% difference is slightly better for Harris compared to how Biden polled on average – three percentage points behind the Republican presidential nominee, 47% to 44%. [Fox News]

BACKGROUND

Kamala Harris’ political ascent began as a prosecutor and later as California’s attorney-general, where she strategically navigated the state’s fluid and future-focused political landscape. Harris has often adjusted her positions to align with the political climate, leading critics to label her as opportunistic and ambitious, a reputation that seems to stick with her aside a lack of charisma. [Economist]  

Harris’ ethnic background offers an advantageous political persona as the daughter of civil-rights activists and immigrants from India and Jamaica. She seems to have struggled to have leveraged this identity towards garnering effective national support from minority and immigrant demographics throughout her career in high politics. 

When it comes to policy issues, Harris would be tied to the Biden administration’s record, which has seen legislative achievements but also faced unpopularity on various fronts. Her role in addressing southern border issues has already drawn attacks from Trump’s allies and will surely be the target of increased criticism throughout this race. [Economist]

On the topic of foreign policy, Harris maintains a relatively centrist stance, in support of maintaining strong aid to Ukraine and aligning with traditional Democratic views. Her campaign would contrast sharply with Trump and his America-first agenda, emphasizing global leadership.

Opinion:

Many people saw this outcome of Biden’s nominee resignation following his disastrous debate performance in late June. 

The Democratic Party shamelessly misled its supporters and the American public, insisting for months that Biden was the best candidate and fit to run, effectively eliminating potential challengers during the primary. Now, as Biden’s chances of victory appeared more dismal than ever, the Democratic elites have abandoned him, and he has finally succumbed to the pressure to step down.

During his 2020 presidential campaign, Joe Biden promised to choose a woman of color as his vice-presidential running mate, leading to the selection of Kamala Harris. Despite her poor performance in the 2020 nomination race, she has now inherited the nomination due to Biden’s apparent cognitive decline and his adherence to a self-imposed diversity quota.

Senior Democrats and left-wing media, after urging Biden to abandon his reelection bid, are now portraying him as a phenomenal and selfless leader who had one of the most successful presidencies. These same individuals, who previously begged him to step down in light of recent polls and public opinion, are now depicting his resignation as an act of patriotism and service. Is this truly the mark of an American hero, or simply the reality of an 81-year-old man finally buckling under pressure from powerful party elites and wealthy donors?

As the 2024 presidential election approaches, Democratic voters have been stripped of their agency in selecting their preferred nominee and participating in a democratic process. Biden was virtually pushed through every stage of the Democratic primary without contenders, leaving voters no opportunity to support other candidates despite clear public opposition to another Biden vs. Trump rematch.

The Biden-Harris ticket’s main campaign point is to protect and preserve democracy. However, by not allowing voters to choose their candidate, the Democrats have shown that the millionaire donor class, not the voters, selects the nominee.

At 59, Harris’s age is a notable improvement over Biden’s 81, addressing the primary concern of voters regarding his age and physical ability to lead.

Although Harris is not much more popular than Biden, her campaign will focus on positioning her as the last possible opponent to Trump. She will adopt a full anti-Trump stance in every advertisement, seeking the votes of those opposed to his return to the White House. 

Harris and her campaign are likely to take the approach of framing this refreshed campaign as the prosecutor vs. the felon in their aims of discrediting and defeating Trump. 

Harris will likely make her position in defense of abortion and instating Roe v. Wade as a central feature of her candidacy, as well as staunch support for clean energy and environmental justice. 

The Republican Party and Trump campaign have expressed discontent with the Democrats’ decision to replace Biden with Harris so late in the race, citing millions of dollars spent on attacking Biden. 

They also recognize that defeating Kamala Harris will be slightly more challenging than defeating Joe Biden, which was shaping up to be a possible landslide in November given recent political developments.

Nevertheless, given the current disarray surrounding the Democratic party, a Trump victory still seems more likely for now.However, it will undoubtedly be a tight election this November, and it will be interesting to see how the Harris vs. Trump race unfolds in the coming months.

– P.T.